{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.381Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "all_history_lane_count": 107, "current_lane_count": 81, "current_product_count": 81, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 87223318.81259997, "attention_trade_usd": 49932811.47833633, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 70121674.64127882, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2458156.4909345023, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 60928622.91940145, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 13, "high_volatility_lane_count": 36, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 56, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.465586709889287, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.592187774760984, "product_concentration_hhi": 659.8787342412097, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.865957437369586, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.3409482803868, "top_product_hs6": "721070", "top_product_trade_usd": 13838814.63826829, "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "top_attention_product_hs6": "721070", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3370.359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.48959997296333313, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.955960007049807, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417623, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.572251882300383, "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.173578049117241, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7304, "buyer_population_latest": 9340.314, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3542249002150193, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9960922051038628, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6172032922380555, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.812, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.426000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.24708960641293, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7304, "buyer_population_2024": 9340.314 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 17918903.183698013, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 20104587.14725303, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.197643690287219, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 25199256.576680787, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.340830886566422, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 32369289.40063801, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.453350606352103, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.788770883346476 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 22948100.28599353, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.105331902833754, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.508238244739693 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 21851324.626747355, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.779374525897461, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.640635788107894 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 16076321.492674377, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.428618093953084, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.807417500913004 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 10946419.049853766, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.90967812604515, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.86569079201647 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 9757055.661923693, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.865319357072867, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.56709999269996 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 10297765.434869424, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.541730945082302, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.797716419803496 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 12711243.556108616, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.436911012430684, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.108698090055519 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 14864202.739931457, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.937439474898564, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.064391708080628 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 19889932.75510252, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.810962505710805, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.536533602878684 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 27277229.14182919, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.140881659499584, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.98446419576746 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 21322912.90242983, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.828889614995795, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.780748066418157 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 53463623.23706023, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.7332064887243, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.04061847615679 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 29403451.9004438, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.00288210907909, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5335566285178857 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 28529036.50084627, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9738528746835025, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.191185945457693 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31438886.75526164, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.199609279931533, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.22079069375666 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 28114328.93304175, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.574667761298794, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4833124497855121 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 24993711.63838722, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.099739574388279, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.314113811641606 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 24452890.01669715, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1638307647730004, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.035331074718211 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 29123510.37951963, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.100484072161784, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1824831012958725 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 38826678.918460414, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.317304172797414, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.81544933393415 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 46089746.29226013, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.706383281075432, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.52590403513379 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 38984458.392992094, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.416200935914526, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.2087122773723 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 52154619.27730497, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.783105953526245, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.336917046750438 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 79742763.58102621, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.89683768380262, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.050043482638124 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 92099653.27460505, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.495938613944649, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.18505572179418 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 163537664.51527616, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.56599368259398, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.36649418881882 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98961805.80739412, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2011513312080468, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38205754.87596158, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4103594806302424, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "600622", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103045319.92911866, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2085691657313897, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "080610", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25566970.881778926, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1370919654984197, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "600410", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than those of heading 60.01, containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn but not containing rubber thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106808547.34638937, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5062837352198968, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 109703390.42149144, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6132104947530195, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "741110", "hs_description": "Copper: tubes and pipes, of refined copper", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10313112.747206528, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9832838439136252, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27816595.28187582, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.62347798745374, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0971993022014395, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "610462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10088384.44601365, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5294073254751752, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "610342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10994628.691253345, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6198313467859042, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "distance_km": 3372, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "importer_population": 9340.314, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.955960007049807, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417623, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.572251882300383, "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.173578049117241 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-BLR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-BLR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-BLR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-BLR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-BLR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }