{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.625Z", "seo": { "title": "United States exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 85, "current_lane_count": 64, "current_product_count": 64, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 105482376.68416153, "attention_trade_usd": 89843034.95265397, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 90200275.71995682, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 25147131.006010134, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26913315.65320497, "access_friction_trade_usd": 105482376.68416153, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 105482376.68416153, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 18, "high_volatility_lane_count": 56, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 35, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 40, "access_friction_lane_count": 64, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4029289314717834, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.81343706308205, "product_concentration_hhi": 704.8700479809718, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.850091643575018, "top3_product_share_pct": 36.69304701205322, "top_product_hs6": "843041", "top_product_trade_usd": 16719053.37226061, "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "top_attention_product_hs6": "843041", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 12156.1318359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.15359999239444733, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 85.1735026995691, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 40849501.885577224, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 43852272.48717683, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.35081326085838, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 21413214.529066414, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.16965823076099, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 24164464.529278126, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.848374523484797, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.054619193131494 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 12053820.332865996, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.117577328223604, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.980413493057924 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 25423619.33113652, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.91752348271173, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.889241254747235 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 16191180.464196397, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.31441592438052, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.494816639332074 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 30262445.476202693, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.90697409692964, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.91261506348962 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 22675651.424583532, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.069996598870848, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7411212999282073 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 27755662.59016263, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.402933748009836, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.680766503570602 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 33384274.52404656, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.2791481399506, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.326719434642822 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 50983480.883279696, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.71705499113513, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.005613034502023 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 60906457.337893285, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.46312076519647, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.948293288574177 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 72844103.70028892, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.599968351744156, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.70323862116786 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 54455812.91110305, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.243348267202226, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2205595701509484 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 53262392.6625388, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.191538762835954, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.371844827259064 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 103301025.64835136, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.94739981519153, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.349223857121583 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 176962847.18846288, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.30792853002728, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.11962954922653 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 165340973.36068365, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.5674089292890425, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.87692699259633 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 132333775.98021121, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.96310818158108, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.606384691481983 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 93059364.24322358, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.678297506496463, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.284056430994934 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 88000418.65356144, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.436256341102741, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.959629829918434 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 86910899.1016264, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2380845098297177, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.077038861952317 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 197628916.9352864, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.39255833056743, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.537585133183676 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 129158902.16851078, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.64574710450704, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.64400630439231 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 88246229.49018322, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.676231364176278, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5095445845943569 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 142059547.00908613, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.98086890487402, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.42091027480967 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 183274504.31025994, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.0124515873176, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.372291270634172 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 158267652.29032394, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.644479418480726, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.49693830771815 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 184125386.38575354, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.337977926150394, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.030435948309323 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46683584.481231764, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.59499037694023, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "870410", "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119240605.67057261, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.18822031949243, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5038958138081326, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87359216.14616519, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.31003153348364, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8615461099691523, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35598617.887118824, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7604039270190504, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "401180", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67574158.3353849, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.38066950165893, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0106729921103421, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38340313.574667275, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.95095296873471, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5323291184888468, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "840890", "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19961768.670726944, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.8409018129947916, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6959120772092164, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141913569.89859712, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0323839762598788, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61673874.544507146, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.483885479050365, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9960406187526215, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "848340", "hs_description": "Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission elements presented separately): ball or roller screws: gear boxes and other speed changers, including torque converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22175595.506098937, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.406369385422369, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 12141, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }