{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.830Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to Sao Tome and Principe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Sao Tome and Principe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "STP",
    "country_name": "Sao Tome and Principe"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "STP",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 780853.7863667054,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 780853.7863667054,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 780853.7863667054,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 780853.7863667054,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0544819445208233,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 780853.7863667054,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9221.0205078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0064999996684491634,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 547.0929150000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2449,
    "buyer_population_latest": 223.364,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 14.764011512841213,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.520042636623607,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9942837059388374,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.133999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.617999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 547.0929150000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2449,
    "buyer_population_2024": 223.364
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1752107.075727454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 229341.428433968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.91053579937468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 12948427.376416968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5545.917296684616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 9356840.512735441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.73762990108668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.79252704129094
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 504834.44864190154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.60464835373885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.083482920297655
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 942584.4742707384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.71159957615131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.245711698319504
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 10788396.438303137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1044.5548630163821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.859847875062839
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1858961.9812062709,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.76887587662046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.4212896476151
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1294173.4544929038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.381929938496032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.14520601252873
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2918582.26098186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.51708589367169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.32471559371453
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 9938505.639217163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 240.52511632389906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.85720288268598
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 3380539.5360622513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.98543424151511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.72026318613912
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 7625563.508614586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.5723805998453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.731518178415
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2741023.0635765325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.05481299211522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.90756264782245
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 3884293.7190960553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.709632826940314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.739062197373967
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1117763.4777347099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.22350783516872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.273858485904675
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 6480669.392381115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 479.7889733805776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.21988639684845
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1018034.124027968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.29121958875419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.00440356685803
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1679901.4307544804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.01425552492867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.545481351854539
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1624726.5777023206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2844101470512754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.94491153025591
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 1121102.3456179076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.99747606742764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.266860815743522
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2175043.1123569706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.00932670051387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.992017054967306
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 3073298.294212158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.298270215977425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.672975567873756
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2279014.3593481276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.844674314884408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.67782557748206
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2524808.2646896406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.78509682632356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0961591299287345
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 814915.6226771297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.72366305695286,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.75549662521471
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 3310075.3048587977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 306.18626183465045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.247929573017547
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 3721066.5619190237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.416371810542781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.801069922459597
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2131112.2710417896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.72845606011586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.7731417317229
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "export_value_usd": 2138731.0464279773,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3575023000765398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.548453512870374
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "STP",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36334188.80623097,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0544819445208233,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "STP",
    "distance_km": 9205,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 547.0929150000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2449.3334422735984,
    "importer_population": 223.364,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-STP/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-STP/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-STP/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-STP/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-STP/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}