{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.593Z", "seo": { "title": "United States exports to Namibia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Namibia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NAM", "country_name": "Namibia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "all_history_lane_count": 76, "current_lane_count": 63, "current_product_count": 63, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 110101923.68210743, "attention_trade_usd": 97535763.7721194, "critical_trade_usd": 10400077.874929287, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 90176413.50785261, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 44274497.87328245, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 91821206.79282582, "access_friction_trade_usd": 110101923.68210743, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 110101923.68210743, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 20, "high_volatility_lane_count": 55, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 37, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 54, "access_friction_lane_count": 63, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5275296828876899, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.483024848437054, "product_concentration_hhi": 640.6203792970969, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.265825996680178, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.22771304475319, "top_product_hs6": "120190", "top_product_trade_usd": 17908987.3251292, "top_product_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "top_attention_product_hs6": "120190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 11720.1923828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 54, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12236.250784, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4729, "buyer_population_latest": 2587.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2904996761134768, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3852682406449879, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.713355164102671, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.18, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.026, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.58679350029364, "critical_trade_share_pct": 9.445863911476229, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12236.250784, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4729, "buyer_population_2024": 2587.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 75584460.99251656, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 202985592.1107054, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.55465984046978, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 55098642.71496275, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.85588492166836, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 26684569.997868598, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.56946036599545, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.323359773280156 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 63756297.44195408, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.92570668010217, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.024466455949785 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 104102739.10971048, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.28228470997581, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.625222235517505 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 119422506.01674028, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.71600751146882, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.79422582129837 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 123675135.63653712, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.560995126999522, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.715309576176892 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 268069794.33826715, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.75318402405841, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.065632603948195 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 178276817.86936498, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.49611868452281, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.288596043407843 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 92563154.4099204, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.07897318553922, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.207093949880585 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 98075489.39994621, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.955215144909798, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.47834848236651 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 126963320.43275067, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.45468965747553, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.698010828909876 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 182214598.39466605, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.517511808601924, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.328066786910863 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 274320227.5015056, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.54788689726397, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.89614674731001 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 92427108.8443172, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.30685615634746, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.041881079401804 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 201048264.86737552, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.52088470712434, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.333003698960879 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 119574693.56082979, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.524384212065186, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.17824810701599 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 194849698.99312282, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.95228797220316, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.223252891953464 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 183266015.03098625, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.944932951908443, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.039718187409568 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 93294979.28344132, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.09313695304217, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.939570086011272 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 111384027.56178659, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.389090835626412, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.007077228337796 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 233064360.89465904, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.24396971134334, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.342281603951252 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 191126518.03586555, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.99410373074958, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.005021325569988 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "export_value_usd": 200183212.5063087, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.738586023287272, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.58170953614402 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17911056.13403772, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6072338369172983, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39002914.01463272, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.86762285554445, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7863458333421021, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1153361617.317766, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.81806386634274, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0660477189449384, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26561317.9523281, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.333700235250018, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "848190", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11880771.858704463, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.41371955673273, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6455645406376935, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14940276.703011617, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.646381696657898, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9768934465753277, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55761408.63139253, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.23344891264989, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0404651223370613, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46197699.512493506, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8934078208545397, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "401180", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43115372.127976246, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.22810963688206, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0382519362642737, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51548980.00124404, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.8486474525788, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.434697771037395, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "NAM", "distance_km": 11699, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954, "importer_population": 2587.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 54, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-NAM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-NAM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-NAM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-NAM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-NAM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }