{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.579Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to Marshall Isds: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Marshall Isds, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MHL",
    "country_name": "Marshall Isds"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 48339502.56944293,
    "attention_trade_usd": 47377214.56944293,
    "critical_trade_usd": 18892424.577579163,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48339502.56944293,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19111702.577579163,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 48339502.56944293,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 48339502.56944293,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.704119231175041,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.440537570875946,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5002.368116971603,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 58.92652691438737,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.54637927917237,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 28484789.99186376,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11523.3916015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9408000111579895,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4171,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59.618,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.490832668578526,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.861183395493954,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.124711430763172,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.00931340032388,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 39.08278648593649,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 248.6656,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4171,
    "buyer_population_2024": 59.618
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 29751031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 28561611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.997911870684412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 24430254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.464719794692249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 24806231.000000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5389811338023973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.879060328009789
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 33227386.500000007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.94774280703909,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.173056263121056
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 57117985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.90032384882268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.72364449026253
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 26526459.99999963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.558480748227325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.260090084072597
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 28732932.999998916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.318007755272717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.728882586357718
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 28174811.999998897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9424435368294635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.987455197475825
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 16548355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.265428851838834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.553978886781927
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 75484350,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 356.1441303380306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.98302227438981
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 17114778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.32672004196897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.309100060581516
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 22536706.714285713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.67980744059731,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.843919604413754
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 23548223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.488305671889048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.178549563107126
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 74978819.14285715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.4054233852684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.62730422035434
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 86961133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.980931673934396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.847732819167305
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 137252342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.83182355731267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.96465076048571
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 134720939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8443422990916947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.571610023792843
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 60745947.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.90979468306705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.271315734191823
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 92098734.79999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.612968160444204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.452321687321
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 50415984.60000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.25876527024776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.93721360020904
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 257509669.57142866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 410.76989096713703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.842312716090085
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 495366621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.36816303808506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.20951673944137
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 260366245.00000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.43968730182166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.85109781652848
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 94744023.00000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.61124960725996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.343967193684293
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 138239121.50000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.90801311023072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.65163261886771
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 202092977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.19087187992579,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.09858873828505
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 247957467.71428573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.694747435130182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.80822012319671
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 52853332.14285715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.68451689313164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.420528335636696
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "export_value_usd": 122814629.39999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.3687540986907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.296837247260386
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28484789.99186376,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.781423865250032,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5150623185704908,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20403721.353579164,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.65452248594502,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.00684117340782,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "842199",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts for filtering or purifying liquids or gases",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11298441.663999999,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4516467893117568,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "MHL",
      "hs_code": "842121",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13169015.008000001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.70005154133463,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0368591296990606,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "MHL",
    "distance_km": 11516,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 248.6656,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4170.98191821262,
    "importer_population": 59.618,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-MHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-MHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-MHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-MHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-MHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}