{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.576Z", "seo": { "title": "United States exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KAZ", "country_name": "Kazakhstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "all_history_lane_count": 593, "current_lane_count": 499, "current_product_count": 499, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1306146516.605729, "attention_trade_usd": 982049327.4148802, "critical_trade_usd": 23617237.66568486, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 870123758.9617894, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 260385787.57377392, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 665269813.3564454, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1306146516.605729, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 136, "high_volatility_lane_count": 312, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 262, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 269, "access_friction_lane_count": 499, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1702801661113913, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.907172286533502, "product_concentration_hhi": 235.7333179888558, "top1_product_share_pct": 9.29209541620057, "top3_product_share_pct": 20.343375517648063, "top_product_hs6": "880240", "top_product_trade_usd": 121368380.59838438, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10240.8779296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0017999999690800905, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041, "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.18676618048354, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.8081614401926942, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041, "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 75278576.3021096, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 122001320.6472742, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.06645587671036, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 270606809.6899805, "yoy_growth_pct": 121.80645935165661, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 164530733.98656425, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.19933715819711, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.775251558662717 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 291787936.09507, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.34555060022872, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.73166962197458 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 181714908.18243015, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.72363908724999, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.43095517444619 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 229774049.07393822, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.44754983078206, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.776707816961562 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 613114657.4638621, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.83372640857712, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.082989479374376 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 272973849.66174793, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.47752017691121, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.527600513839678 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 396604464.2335514, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.29027770425582, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.955143233029272 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 735994883.9076903, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.57402910983866, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.278242893126729 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 808455779.132206, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.845298766180544, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.60792544909992 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1090532575.4146643, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.89081327184509, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.096412684800754 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1326512145.49081, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.638929033038433, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.696702788847322 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 898903426.8112955, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.23556754705017, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5982109027510756 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 945572124.5885121, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.191736552030468, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.643125914310852 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1119757657.4193447, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.421178913944146, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.491485530002027 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1344492770.7139118, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.069977803277904, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.362018417074252 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1507855058.787875, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.150477238134915, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.830161993446357 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1369063984.927712, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.20453680552914, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.930082433268114 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 874195200.9412044, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.14650516225778, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.367007625312466 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1166230013.2586331, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.40613309281597, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.207287088518555 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 807688080.7925907, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.74367220787081, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.130000064227758 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 924329737.7855997, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.441423585024005, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8762231044227473 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 956920760.2812233, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.525908684243073, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.381016587606836 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 493018984.2092253, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.47859878551124, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.171851197619468 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 786293404.9009492, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.48542147157265, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.248541771400317 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 927534133.2615017, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.962852985946732, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.034313562854039 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1582532176.4308753, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.61713630593782, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.51277583648581 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1449317698.6155431, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.417805324867022, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.61012096586135 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1454172233.2561312, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.925876247415495, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0379569632216243, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1837726366.8194337, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.362548854894521, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1466581898196881, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "840890", "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106134707.81029505, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.951352736870886, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2761723188800524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "860791", "hs_description": "Railway or tramway locomotives: parts n.e.c. in heading no. 8607", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92460970.75083269, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.65529241656902, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.053468627234322, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 151769825.9763721, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7180749837292375, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 535340921.4879869, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.751761890714732, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0588136683047344, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1162507712.4228716, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0243974663809265, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515925667.06328684, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8753497319156168, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 365998642.673289, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0922704803389065, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 109661278.20412877, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.42169636554553, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7648303836005408, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "distance_km": 10259, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548, "importer_population": 19002.586, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-KAZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-KAZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-KAZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-KAZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }