{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.512Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1968,
    "current_lane_count": 1909,
    "current_product_count": 1909,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 37788971496.03629,
    "attention_trade_usd": 29362195819.744717,
    "critical_trade_usd": 9292506925.470282,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24536957703.54573,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11149333131.546701,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15519224215.716223,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 37788971496.03629,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 50,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 752,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 877,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1016,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1106,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1909,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.146880079729594,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.735660010251777,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 358.6266543636189,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 13.755644131490504,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 27.151917731450503,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5198116439.945136,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 11761.806640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2207999974489212,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.70043654886065,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 24.59052617096228,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3371467687.5938864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3304719100.2847214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9798080092768622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3566000044.7638044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.906298131558964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3456199367.929532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.079099143464681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8308112930424549
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3671834806.5658965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.239091431972077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5737088130787242
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3416525943.940169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.953168540403554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4172051823111542
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4044414538.56025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.377984096206145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.378567889573982
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3950882700.5622206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3126174902764807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.471635350435619
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4985900196.4401655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.197120348084724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.427828874727489
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5886111675.441112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.055144377813235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.324621767466628
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 7836995020.331906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.143838453329955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.646909727210776
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 10179325895.221676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.888125088926863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.8601281959292
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 15984211426.299067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.026227383114716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.515000807952205
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 19873090763.39313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.329503867145007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.36574256761796
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 15559801290.692703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.70417034800468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.193597782033418
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 18157829077.597813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.6970499067951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.34161859841331
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21052356409.922836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.940932806202813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9401103279931942
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21688528229.19622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.021855638799331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.705702777542548
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20804486640.99809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.076079201206795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.6399909429287955
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20203690294.7479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.887821058108875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.362210837960498
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20324521352.072624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5980642920275558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.141907008704569
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20192808087.290897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6480510044990284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9898075590510924
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 25678130383.121696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.164732473653295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.320560617663219
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 33286127104.19638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.628312527283683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.872993641782852
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 34328828331.672935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1325399443815183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.34954134648976
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 26365735667.93178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.196517477394174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8847443975529723
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 39398733917.38155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.43157442521733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.780674739495906
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 47917434714.58074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.62176280857846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.757889823981206
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 38713293445.19681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.208334762092793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.659761901145284
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 38220069462.78595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2740429411129184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0073230196468774
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055084036.38712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.091130961253775,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4351126358188866,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270112",
      "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14890888641.987432,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.548454343636797,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.404288842280855,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "271111",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14058814124.08878,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1780906683680046,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53809527310.56449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.95224172483391,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0284871974514813,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10439476413.142857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.56712944579641,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.391025415968204,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2440949036.372922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.675538775535913,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3505003068710553,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "080211",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: almonds, fresh or dried, in shell",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 964956989.517674,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.924687608516516,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "271311",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum coke: (not calcined), obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1496916266.5464778,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.339390810633267,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1335670305453553,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3388461868.8749886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.015753171394515,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5615191348533124,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5055166826.730026,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.98052385946748,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0297631483345868,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 11771,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}