{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.626Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 85,
    "current_lane_count": 40,
    "current_product_count": 40,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 98309607.4,
    "attention_trade_usd": 83453360.4,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 56630456,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 34568299.4,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 89027401.4,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 13,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 27,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 26,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 35,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.163509582618075,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.56230494520356,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 970.081299917537,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 21.37181864078932,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 42.49126316824249,
    "top_product_hs6": "281512",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 21010551,
    "top_product_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): in aqueous solution (soda lye or liquid soda)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "281512",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 6672.72998046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.006199999712407589,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174,
    "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.88830604362683,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174,
    "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 63321641.67087195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 75984295.5128852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.997355576834465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 74429145.72096266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.046672646532366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 60848702.59130126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.246135970141232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.319111234305903
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 48657896.09823966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.03462025302798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.806107236109488
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 63304808.03619675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.101819257423635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.2531993379229425
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 65421017.99975411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.34288978863555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4445026498990607
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 62882241.80080334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8806736375767037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.924329817321963
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 41634366.88292503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.78994499780518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.036217154032926
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 63419408.57306371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.32466186263323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0304421715532586
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 97463381.35698968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.680684746066134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.727832570307609
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 60603011.71989654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.8197114894677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.330659005010915
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 77533108.21519509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.936064586275734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9272347568611226
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 102412630.86130454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.08890139816878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6648168845263545
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 80194687.47372186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.694534356481874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.7868852557087
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 80762102.41142118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7075467909083644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3693839360747306
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 239895256.83077228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 197.03939059026635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.80753403697081
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 119864389.32324554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.034698098345196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.335613374077028
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 81215661.79094481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.243711206065015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.18685040926402774
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 59174962.71481778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.138483625069078,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.284901231241804
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 121631345.19559038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.54528404482313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.48898144887181694
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 87287526.77803828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.235993248553825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.432427954487393
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 79260156.11714229,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.196469366475036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.231481286803422
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 119848187.14934741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.20861858033459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4910860280225693
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 118829858.89629164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8496818160351416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.830118533086752
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 128073178.74248232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.778617202817473,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.345855392881916
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 143071662.49999997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.710870226525106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.081760411448189
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 120301990.81133069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.91487181374529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.41125864714228744
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 177539694.0703636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.57835084275428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.50108483566461
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 130302606.76677635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.60649357932653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0681518125951657
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "281512",
      "hs_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): in aqueous solution (soda lye or liquid soda)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21704173.648426943,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8357125875522528,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "843031",
      "hs_description": "Coal or rock cutters and tunnelling machinery: self-propelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13302005.826,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6896660702716284,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22747145.328509398,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.119277210335639,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4612497345220523,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53081315.60065059,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.93025835258769,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3097894563363048,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "842959",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: n.e.c. in item no. 8429.50",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10400781.843753295,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.840590832459636,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9670152514081194,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "860210",
      "hs_description": "Rail locomotives: diesel-electric powered",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27833869,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.64102661854287,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.219331917668814,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56300304.66559754,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.226258666599065,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8159821679541471,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29429566.788004793,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.93796409575457,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3666204646236201,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23926639.02544102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2230055186611133,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21809591.77778485,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.15104158808171,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3190144481483772,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "distance_km": 6834,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "importer_population": 13497.237,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-GIN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-GIN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-GIN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-GIN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-GIN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}