{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.539Z", "seo": { "title": "United States exports to Ecuador: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Ecuador, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "all_history_lane_count": 369, "current_lane_count": 361, "current_product_count": 361, "first_observed_last_year": 2013, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6562854716.633251, "attention_trade_usd": 5760930517.96236, "critical_trade_usd": 232700093.50071388, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2398341721.4876266, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 603489033.9371672, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6007344105.6043, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 10, "high_attention_lane_count": 93, "high_volatility_lane_count": 101, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 215, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 223, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0094577245702034, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.866711955139262, "product_concentration_hhi": 2029.172557225326, "top1_product_share_pct": 42.12868447591045, "top3_product_share_pct": 61.430055825011024, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 2764844356.1828294, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4584.07275390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.15680000185966492, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5935, "buyer_population_latest": 17888.474, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.990587628199348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0708328763464845, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9010945888597854, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.951999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.912, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 87.78086315641804, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.5457145335085096, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5935, "buyer_population_2024": 17888.474 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1489635492.4764132, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1278083581.6561422, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.201589038978991, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1504968654.3815804, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.751974595545626, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1740942960.2864392, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.679682445068943, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3339030735513715 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 962336748.9205928, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.72324648923256, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.024886748823679 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1026230954.7297709, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.639485178223237, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.981785996356153 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1434712689.8472867, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.80407463201867, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2452099148119995 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1591062637.8865817, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.897648647405301, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.246075476986114 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1386770448.4870694, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.839984079500155, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.557062086766145 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1568754317.0868163, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.122854528540518, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.022005075197476 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1946467811.4620025, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.07728796416011, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.95144326327557 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2744779700.795593, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.01336197971719, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.555084572940178 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2944580050.35943, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.279285456166984, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.354825655378164 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3603154604.8464003, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.365652936030102, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.78497430883515 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3946533588.9296126, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.529954213492609, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.867638040804263 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5456788227.662224, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.26787748542198, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.830035696965446 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5519685348.342384, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.152639942325684, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.277303192945313 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 6473950432.30209, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.288396416405895, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.937302117917508 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7025153662.434233, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.514171306933216, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.785975254812705 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7726126620.922012, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.978044497960358, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.861979427851788 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5213330851.747424, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.52335733626275, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.964512184041105 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3877036978.258584, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.632247626120563, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.97466016198256 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4268065980.9320836, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.085769232181384, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.947887319869892 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5353837786.145436, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.439433459185558, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8904301692086891 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4996968272.593288, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.665676619408389, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.826722430553001 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3990653651.6402225, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.138503309544053, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.215285792180377 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 5009678033.884614, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.535274949895893, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1903881272391845 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7920504622.230149, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.104065144649965, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.595579851193555 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7807371764.140674, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4283541704142255, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.070131810078287 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7266510748.575117, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.927568353408454, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.197986438859433 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3425572526.5864515, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.5487303483404369, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9744146022096095, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 986936653.4012759, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.83009212587874, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.058902113701418, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 468329117.4578037, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.37471683148806, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.085395692156107, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "270750", "hs_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 602494429.9971789, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6315403378108129, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 688219763.7268538, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.610037408039375, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0586447138731863, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 165823466.65068778, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.536830039686958, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1541202585000334, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "480411", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: kraftliner, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 159931601.39553127, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.490472141884013, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.23201308963882566, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 288535232.0081384, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.77992881495758, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6127358384763397, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86811233.85714279, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.586044348523985, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5987661046804317, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "290110", "hs_description": "Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61629779.2918632, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.8176019099740874, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "distance_km": 4786, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "importer_population": 17888.474, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ECU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ECU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ECU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ECU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-ECU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }