{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.433Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to Central African Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Central African Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAF",
    "country_name": "Central African Republic"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "CAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2023,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 10944205.143676646,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10137605,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 806600.1436766463,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 806600.1436766463,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10137605,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 10944205.143676646,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1987076283062565,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.794350453800412,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8634.614753080354,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 92.6298883008175,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271112",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10137605,
    "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271112",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9918.68359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.002300000051036477,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712740957575754,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712740957575754,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 22,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2516.4982990000003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 511,
    "buyer_population_latest": 4919.987,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.373975765675064,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.816681728361936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5146316834338647,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.606,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.0260000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.6298883008175,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2516.4982990000003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 511,
    "buyer_population_2024": 4919.987
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 7153858.436242744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 4134733.7093138187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.20274630587449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 3397526.2288565813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.829624161687086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5320112.7740990585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.5878352582877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.400284861025687
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 3842954.2334995363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.765549403220568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4098716444381774
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1648016.562571053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.115894115910194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.42828163220448
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 3641899.2924125073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.98681379335288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.867579489280878
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5808792.198255417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.49897929240906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.764316899508678
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 7825996.579645847,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.72674374539111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.08386552316028
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 33674565.36580775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 330.2910820762413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 109.8898105657097
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 14738760.578838121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.23177190639122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.39288253403645
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 24176876.966546427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.0360248558453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.642072007763204
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 19638675.427331824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.77083440302947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.451870512880173
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 20976503.110373396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.812209346765163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.483988907498112
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 34960711.72915762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.66606223736447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.081967206535827
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 10760535.932008194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.22106158658724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.17100138589629
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 10823661.201349456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5866368528494093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.792736458211213
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 8887795.88117129,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.88549441973303,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.65126666834754
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 6286262.666746285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.270847904330566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.4038633485725
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 33731324.0196409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 436.58788707758436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.067321756213595
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 42967751.78586932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.382345741454685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.08932334659157
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 14468778.698404584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.32642366184285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.03217678581907
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 12111815.742815504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.289992436258448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.923621904534038
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 10437409.744814264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.824566304143671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.604964785185715
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 51042890.55189899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 389.03791074465784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.230308950807384
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 22636043.709087804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.65289609515334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.17722698747633
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 17041785.248005167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.713940885512088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.753579667258524
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 29907713.419419114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.49636369769401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.321095990727663
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 20353260.781700242,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.946449746021553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4813680169714867
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "export_value_usd": 37585757.20921298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.6670055100291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.167552373454566
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "hs_code": "271112",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10137605,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9997309014286435,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "CAF",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18889243.67588783,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.18788983285071,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.699509887134975,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "CAF",
    "distance_km": 9913,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2516.4982990000003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 511.484745589775,
    "importer_population": 4919.987,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 22,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 127.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712740957575754,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712740957575754,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-CAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-CAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-CAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-CAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-CAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}