{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.572Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United States exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BWA",
    "country_name": "Botswana"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 39,
    "current_lane_count": 34,
    "current_product_count": 34,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 59098348.26153184,
    "attention_trade_usd": 54534371.42113182,
    "critical_trade_usd": 34524259.66117654,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 56374713.97327301,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 54568450.208242536,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22368048.819158074,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 59098348.26153184,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 24,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 29,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 34,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3401721854923405,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 59.856087670275194,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3653.6450605166942,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 58.41831570045587,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 76.19410749223972,
    "top_product_hs6": "710239",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 34524259.66117654,
    "top_product_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710239",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 12583.9697265625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.27731912201209,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 58.41831570045587,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 32281335.669207547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 41663857.932709515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.06485146601834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 35534679.38804163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.711020171408517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 27225402.611464053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.383570415366883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.519770754957564
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 49436112.59659389,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.58083207106499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.867244716157871
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 50852626.07506339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8653415571496588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.69041924448906
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 26641531.03436559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.6103141752402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7200333068983711
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 53734533.50153493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.69461519392931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.81813532566626
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 63475333.16801886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.127634189297815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.670616884235848
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 101390784.91514975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.73257619108339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.127630511128835
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 54462989.91287904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.2840829583703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4498591762202908
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 80455424.13111076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.72494910729313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.222305056084034
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 95102446.72399458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.20513999033171,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1116364201901217
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 124048723.49011067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.436942227284327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.57203947408216
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 79367980.23666236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.01870458345371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.45258202078805043
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 56462816.757016286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.859451143076353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.952728995319188
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 45553768.814553306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.320764653682254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.389395810581764
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 85979607.82001452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.74312720432071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.703058505857525
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 80478944.4238881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.397637225377018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.539913539361969
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 111381939.7652901,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.39885769206142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.71940452924302
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 46820997.23896061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.96356452614824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.338929926233227
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 54604897.64839945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.624806963662266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.128148898513459
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 73088578.49536133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.84985897414947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.101640163694972
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 74219181.84190272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5468946993040023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.59819687695827
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 96610059.5716611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.1685860367662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.94750602450839
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 347017602.32931495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.97921989495839,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3632086980280276,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "870410",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28433985.63271484,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.1514877211697,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1675923011927052,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 889616150.6362275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.58682154576123,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0100922167478175,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "880230",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46562356.238066845,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.42431127311917,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.679694488646396,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23437642.389256265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.16769667786946,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4036587596260464,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51964886.58693762,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.48726484143982,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0629171932199897,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "880220",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight not exceeding 2000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10275802.802800963,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.23330988132453,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7438583987078857,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76671195.62262942,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.478577001622014,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7567641963599833,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15247702.822579397,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.143368286545765,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2430773512513784,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "USA",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13787780.260449572,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.196809993391744,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6731261788797184,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "USA",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "distance_km": 12558,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007,
    "importer_population": 2397.24,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 48,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-BWA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-BWA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-BWA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-BWA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-BWA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}