{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.516Z", "seo": { "title": "United States exports to Australia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United States to Australia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "all_history_lane_count": 1753, "current_lane_count": 1729, "current_product_count": 1729, "first_observed_last_year": 2007, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 33117204100.837482, "attention_trade_usd": 13814889326.472445, "critical_trade_usd": 2277395532.3802104, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7992635791.095954, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5770774205.985621, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 12091593.41143525, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15540843036.760077, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 33, "high_attention_lane_count": 473, "high_volatility_lane_count": 359, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 949, "declining_demand_lane_count": 7, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 992, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8387985736260039, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.53515872798035, "product_concentration_hhi": 101.7183283799187, "top1_product_share_pct": 3.974827976706965, "top3_product_share_pct": 10.202825575954046, "top_product_hs6": "880230", "top_product_trade_usd": 1316351893.7032344, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880230", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 16008.79296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9314202070236206, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.152655499684038, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7964930793187879, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.07644377967111, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.71514384006556, "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.876774758659709, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 59934, "buyer_population_2024": 25739.256 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 11432965875.799633, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12781103904.046356, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.791673681982662, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12458548529.810957, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5236894767226015, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12435374876.159662, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1860060471397973, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8410869760098434 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12419294254.151861, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.12931352828478015, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9526522792738912 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12998451297.899563, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.6633651791774255, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4241525615377615 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 11045520603.088907, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.024333669090506, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.873653557429635 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 12958197672.391756, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.316314350705795, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4259835533552812 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 13331828637.488117, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8833559615501603, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8477091247710344 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 14655729426.236113, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.930376580338596, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.885506954238622 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 16082155422.85308, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.732889814842217, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.464878356823479 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 18360025213.678207, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.163958318598425, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.257129366560669 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 19709060836.63947, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.347678487697462, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.378925962067953 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 22889255543.62075, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.13569887140054, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.485308638396187 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 19464582138.570694, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.96192568833684, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.966443207718216 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 22572705865.30061, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.968098901907112, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.625905774813344 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 27832402044.68535, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.301132840569583, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.734873692028587 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 30563560057.36655, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.812872091658797, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.230369457980952 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 25298450305.335194, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.22675546352899, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.873181102411083 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 26003509294.991974, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.786965134809427, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.24017302410916 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 24513946378.425346, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.728314973446691, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.088437426535044 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 21696870761.945915, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.491726272840063, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.990347899579051 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 24064002608.66417, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.910014963401826, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.550720007364171 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 24937008147.43005, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.627848421407487, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5719888285767416 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 26078807491.37793, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5787342940157405, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.323731192538395 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 23956594632.480385, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.13769134036969, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.14900288758376012 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 26333827665.9647, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.923084102534574, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8333147602033861 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 30360407224.663036, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.290521415170154, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1977912334260745 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 32542126887.367245, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.18606850876462, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.749119804270691 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 33917820955.815834, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.227425187081524, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.802277103437905 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "880230", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1431558069.1765883, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1261635299611013, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5101129514.770231, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.31491893250967, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2956089470654162, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3016256214.161728, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.397839863921008, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "300212", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1169011269.6238468, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7203215477724635, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "847150", "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2530853229.958633, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7823113062516207, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "870410", "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1256252121.1265583, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.619547680662, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9796538356472456, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1623097803.767211, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5486818262891873, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4891418722.095874, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.741200226362285, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5583128959171726, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3640096349.978381, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6411175528544534, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4538024473.034823, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.88113890542597, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5086624847947371, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "USA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "distance_km": 16672, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "importer_population": 25739.256, "importer_biz_entry_days": 2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.152655499684038, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7964930793187879, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.07644377967111 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-AUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-AUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-AUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-AUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/USA-AUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }