{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.565Z", "seo": { "title": "Uruguay exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uruguay to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "URY", "country_name": "Uruguay" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 148, "current_lane_count": 69, "current_product_count": 69, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 245742088.98641756, "attention_trade_usd": 190780564.48812962, "critical_trade_usd": 47169666.84180315, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 140971764.30987638, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 75399948.18065014, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 203392866.98647854, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 16, "high_volatility_lane_count": 27, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 35, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 52, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9921669486849196, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.958335102890786, "product_concentration_hhi": 1085.3369098006633, "top1_product_share_pct": 21.693148431039347, "top3_product_share_pct": 49.4604640539063, "top_product_hs6": "470329", "top_product_trade_usd": 53309196.121360354, "top_product_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "top_attention_product_hs6": "470329", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7563.498046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9801000356674194, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.183921244215352, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8339192714234342, "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.766377148980606, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.6344684278623, "critical_trade_share_pct": 19.194785490901506, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 16343615.529484361, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 31064262.19321267, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.06970726380482, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 35648352.13249538, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.756796445931064, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 28372731.498985842, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.409416419777283, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.1852036298527 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 43097396.22709819, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.89724059045449, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.531274016380987 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 84058121.86432938, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.04222812299847, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.10061873853007 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 78385921.91815281, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.747949895111338, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.31765155495704 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 81295357.3270463, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7116810489661756, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.558199347187745 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 93976869.22471224, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.599306423673088, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7879889296402736 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 122672867.58715072, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.53517168551574, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.101228623001383 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 219139041.3095392, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.63692731716394, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.17182992943731 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 240556877.0068383, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.77362845493419, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.79354405433624 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 308064524.30785716, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.063071046229048, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.92449368945418 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 290078824.92141396, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.838289698189847, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.799094032091936 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 238799425.69788125, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.6777464668181, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.24412086753914375 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 210856317.46083823, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.701497252508242, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.87178453490394 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 252759320.1895476, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.872775562672864, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.486729297773562 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 267053240.74696636, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.655150736558223, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7978102331194252 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 259049670.00123316, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9969944282820404, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.102302794930915 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 349197640.3197947, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.799492436385826, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.375082966706728 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 375275773.9788327, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.468015429644859, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.008477040247456 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 346949411.44571704, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.548145789638272, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.228620062674509 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 384611765.2119908, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.855286829666898, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2722775355745304 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 382771687.6146467, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.47842467750041084, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6614292643308151 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 334227935.34698707, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.682168989606868, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2374722076309963 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 291033606.3693798, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.923614219369185, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.87444383736361 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 184748074.06057388, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.52002036284028, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.558352909029065 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 322730198.9646072, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.68663779347042, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.160102461805601 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 370949782.8044689, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.941144025121078, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.423642513575857 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 255574757.55069155, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.102599489751594, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.424154148669729 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "470329", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 407413104.66751087, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2600665860852212, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 235630252.25537568, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.1740103089809, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1581318684480337, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "441239", "hs_description": "Plywood: consisting only of sheets of wood (not bamboo), each ply 6mm or thinner, not containing an outer ply of non-coniferous or tropical wood (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226706712.5270651, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.870032396255929, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5476940045243, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "150210", "hs_description": "Tallow: other than those of heading 1503", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119429339.55373536, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1667756101974882, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "040690", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: cheese (not grated, powdered or processed), n.e.c. in heading no. 0406", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 662012717.2130765, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.995776414068324, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4769011364648837, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "410712", "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, without hair on, other than leather of heading 41.14, whole hides and skins, grain splits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 181031406.71088403, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.03531588356298, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6487620959640551, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "440398", "hs_description": "Wood: of eucalyptus (Eucalyptus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10587039.555449465, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.41411056634819, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6383542058406446, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "151411", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: low erucic acid rape or colza oil and its fractions, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146316596.77566954, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4155381261646862, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "040221", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45068822.35330915, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.621279133107606, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2630371047573585, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 499525423.81377965, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9545438832083826, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 7530, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 59319.547636, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17020.64863627182, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.183921244215352, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8339192714234342, "tariff_advantage_pp": 12.766377148980606 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }