{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.620Z", "seo": { "title": "Uruguay exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uruguay to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "URY", "country_name": "Uruguay" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "all_history_lane_count": 81, "current_lane_count": 35, "current_product_count": 35, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 154767667.2866341, "attention_trade_usd": 127611778.57087366, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17502961.947150525, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1796861.5829528174, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 138088326.92869145, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 18, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6218325166297665, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.485073952756546, "product_concentration_hhi": 4598.886389182499, "top1_product_share_pct": 65.66570908333902, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.51564243769594, "top_product_hs6": "330210", "top_product_trade_usd": 101629286.1555112, "top_product_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "top_attention_product_hs6": "330210", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6600.93505859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8514000177383423, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026, "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 82.453771390463, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026, "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 4166068.770920604, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 1846547.2766211, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.676505162130184, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 1088605.4475666909, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.04643507645941, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 2564743.640588659, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.59900846734791, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.930768601866207 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 2820270.019475656, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.96303781957517, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.162235443654403 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 3973405.9048997536, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.88742841859121, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.96812103839614 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 4479754.693585406, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.74344481295644, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.43057424133343 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 7896234.24335787, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.26488018784927, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.94287004138262 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 16613446.38703464, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.39708138103283, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.101258772828594 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 18025037.228770427, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.49667678126924, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.052553457574206 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 6167699.326333372, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.7825986817443, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.90535244682653 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 5390319.76747193, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.60404435641621, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.284992478442184 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 32580994.30183464, "yoy_growth_pct": 504.4352785607594, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.81367748930263 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 55345280.21943971, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.86983180044695, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.80331223454552 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 53922291.32300161, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5711115578348487, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.46890420546899 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 49331138.17257954, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.514388090299164, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.829180986234803 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 57738648.36763099, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.043008749643484, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.421183507901791 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 68675950.45011699, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.942774712782494, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.395714747114024 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 60530750.974474706, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.860337457664427, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.057798581404051 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 75996015.30360061, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.54943409779844, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.590961226018525 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 92348079.34237689, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.51700187628329, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.375935186183138 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 90935708.17664471, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5293996104627894, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.530053544002897 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 89438233.4866844, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6467400100425245, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.578980435539127 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 110228300.72242285, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.245167558942992, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.077126894852447 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 97816665.61771774, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.259935083241569, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.461206875642774 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 120357549.1308219, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.04401133565248, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.403635413227597 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 101539570.96354412, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.635062613998308, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6997243651742275 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 125549126.86022958, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.645516392132127, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.675992235833064 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 162561691.41300988, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.48054317732163, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.53885404532824 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 159523369.78852278, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8690268279553224, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.25090175044237 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "330210", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: of a kind used in the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 156050781.6350844, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.586850045971083, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5500949569979323, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "440398", "hs_description": "Wood: of eucalyptus (Eucalyptus spp.), in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22770504.743967175, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.24392499339169, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5435182008936118, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536205592.61456096, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.980893237628635, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0892769788041161, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46027508.61924847, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7493745505681685, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 500916367.82880634, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.41354996931786, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.168833315767054, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "470329", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19143269.156826183, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.09261881701441971, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "291814", "hs_description": "Acids: carboxylic acids, (with alcohol function but without other oxygen function), citric acid", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28454887.73520951, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.545386973792945, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5906017829861583, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "330749", "hs_description": "Perfumes and deodorizors: perfuming or deodorizing preparations for rooms, (excluding those which operate by burning)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11150004.245606514, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.097739152495663, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5896221459949703, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "300420", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44088586.35783671, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8823451097301676, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "300212", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: antisera and other blood fractions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29370836.134942535, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.95409536404205, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0290624868240925, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "URY", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "distance_km": 6568, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "importer_population": 17109.747, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 59319.547636, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17020.64863627182, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-GTM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-GTM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-GTM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-GTM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/URY-GTM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }