{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.414Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ukraine exports to Taiwan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Taiwan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TWN",
    "country_name": "Taiwan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "TWN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 113,
    "current_lane_count": 30,
    "current_product_count": 30,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 22450173.47094888,
    "attention_trade_usd": 16422798.150639148,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9402180.176021742,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3444486.1962256054,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 33922.02498190356,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21236374.835070416,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 22450173.47094888,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 20,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 30,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1300329133439473,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.33254011960442,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2707.6382047432735,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 48.11042259202788,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.15221048020268,
    "top_product_hs6": "151211",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10800873.32951684,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "151211",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7964.51708984375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 610872,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 25889,
    "buyer_population_latest": 23596.027,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 73.15221048020268,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 610872,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 25889,
    "buyer_population_2024": 23596.027
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 225473486.6451528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 149096186.43542767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.874182435439394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 267396056.3008848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.34466514117841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 202423923.9615559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.298089223208162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5307757424142605
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 226482048.67040363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.885020425459603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.953557626670078
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 271073195.4168171,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.68860093247673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4563033058841981
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 147934481.15374452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.426370568926124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.925362188405662
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 257620673.27583945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.14511563947075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.387615051525318
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 170695320.0385727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.74160626627744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.287332144383813
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 262006643.45283806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.49374745226254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.989485575621813
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 129645525.26569156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.518229783349696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.458775295976405
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 134111301.43946469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.444604944614249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.725594832563665
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 124469392.90893152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.189482487339327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.972069353112566
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 80832817.80945608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.058076591891385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.570067685761146
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 87744376.02701391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.550435831459158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.187025339551205
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 135438799.5111972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.35610308460064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8553393645816216
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 175813237.3229879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.810097222880948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.565075008862497
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 151480307.54367033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.840214849474252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.962533589184204
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 146784049.64161593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.100243178936324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7176929547126027
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 122615365.11353014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.46547059240797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.318892482892496
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 50353120.698252656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.934085747222255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.728157718651715
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 61763712.35813541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.661140961375857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.064977484540098
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 67044038.65891088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.54923724493377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.227911363431883
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 89967638.59142888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.19185417683843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.344466507955453
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 95353868.6767951,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.986852794732966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.576172693909873
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 65810991.67425649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.982358044302437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6168504766950855
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 132715639.57471007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.66181392860688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.835729303435862
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 62192482.630433835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.138542804954334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.277219867062595
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 28664762.698398404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.909602115849076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.197539067585538
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 27071546.418022215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.558100365733032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.13411827455828
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12999117.92173038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.861107682924796,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4665999768947034,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "730490",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): seamless, tubes, pipes and hollow profiles, seamless, n.e.c. in heading no. 7304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15939078.562501192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6812184515945194,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "730439",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel (excluding cast iron): seamless, (excluding cold-drawn or cold-rolled), tubes, pipes and hollow profiles of circular cross-section",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55717455.70011075,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5649162183280771,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "100790",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: grain sorghum, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17632653.552668795,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.57948733226823,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9308670930712568,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "851830",
      "hs_description": "Headphones and earphones, whether or not combined with a microphone, and sets consisting of a microphone and one or more loudspeakers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170855994.09368396,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7733676867499137,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "151219",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21589017.34807235,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.22653242933606,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.001169007986779,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "730419",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron or stainless steel): seamless, line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19301822.16124486,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.189822902041231,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77911773.7685169,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.26597680771309,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8063196713955885,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "440890",
      "hs_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43198000.86912857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.84733036242004,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5180334131564892,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "250700",
      "hs_description": "Kaolin and other kaolinic clays: whether or not calcined",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42503734.542046934,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.4649475268219,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9618918773789396,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "TWN",
    "distance_km": 7970,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 610872,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594,
    "importer_population": 23596.027,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TWN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TWN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TWN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TWN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TWN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}