{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.619Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ukraine exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUN",
    "country_name": "Tunisia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 58,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 327169431.07787114,
    "attention_trade_usd": 135554757.903394,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1855723.5473614987,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1781826.1790014626,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 283612555.6460376,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7930035130383425,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.85305347520701,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3066.656374592625,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 39.41747828288716,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.83568230541763,
    "top_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 128961939.44336534,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 2212.683349609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.029717938697317,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.029717938697317,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3924,
    "buyer_population_latest": 11935.764,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.43258661324321,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3924,
    "buyer_population_2024": 11935.764
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 12294796.874793138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 14564263.253086913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.45875455613788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 15760850.436243117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.215912898323818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 30085840.737399846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.88970394779882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.755633912359826
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 25689675.548894748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.61207358928881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.82497102572136
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 26870703.148568474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.597284996557849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.462920522446957
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 54315258.51700141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.1356055205985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.764278453814768
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 115176166.16318665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.0512160079933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.89266341090503
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 95948943.450187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.693751279893863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.8458747902395
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 160288094.18828988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.05561147893755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.436541388005345
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 199682244.45684466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.577090686647374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.13206538235659
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 246206849.7280542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.29932007613449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.90521075581095
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 267679748.83174223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.721487289003438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.6418974090248
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 484405034.0591383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.96439352370469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.3661064572599
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 249013827.24013668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.59388120856399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.37859456017299564
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 264362869.68053016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.163931782628129,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.41475859681530114
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 325379601.07561535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.080673722758792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.422228184531292
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 401813131.8251558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.490572395095533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.29159377450804
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 299204420.1137778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.536425662670215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.213148207588002
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 350618828.66949916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.183706222043817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5215044784374863
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 341190002.9463636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6891954887064418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.305652204429534
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 268297910.60408998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.364076236938445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.569053722498816
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 306570910.7020871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.265112990191774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.376367706636575
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 407955143.4978818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.07040206900638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.138278289353982
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 382053032.91063046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.3492545688141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.504213269339793
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 441435005.5570384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.542861208040337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.92201222708329
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 417861562.3270094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.34018438349314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8029720365026805
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 210111380.3219062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.71746643749022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.070184901514217
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 239783834.83174348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.122250048701247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.407348975612713
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 340281078.950251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.91160100055389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.6168629661505385
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 225478023.08290067,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7903931476023668,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 311029879.9038338,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.47698429705605,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7888850906959167,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "100390",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291871997.4083374,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.01743502177397,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7966378392090078,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67514044.372141,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8869486203452411,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "150710",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, crude, whether or not degummed, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44124998.43918254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.214332187349027,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4391801091847444,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "120190",
      "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 269079209.04308164,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.9598244241575,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5747003209100597,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 210113370.36101794,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.65015286731597,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.452819082603221,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "854411",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: winding wire, of copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36971371.07295691,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.32214297715227,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8456762360258664,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43381549.92695594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1894523619315251,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "850431",
      "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: n.e.c. in item no. 8504.2, having a power handling capacity not exceeding 1kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13365867.106940383,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.54778886284987,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9084501059096693,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "distance_km": 2220,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344,
    "importer_population": 11935.764,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 24.029717938697317,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 24.029717938697317,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TUN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TUN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TUN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TUN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-TUN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}