{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.430Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ukraine exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 140,
    "current_lane_count": 17,
    "current_product_count": 17,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 268366255.3375401,
    "attention_trade_usd": 11605168.312007008,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 10845684.848528456,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6777096.763096537,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9281963.600577932,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 268366255.3375401,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 10,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9232513185621807,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.31892705898902,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9024.638194869174,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 94.976809147485,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.07225184271262,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 254885706.14818773,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "110812",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7429.7255859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 4.324376884646135,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 67790237.68035817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 221945966.71453822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 227.4010747108588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 115359839.42916964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.02345762942257,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 24141269.182616595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.0730731751415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.1188131821145
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 92206380.588274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 281.94504145900106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.38297908281527
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 112664885.33002764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.187732140909322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7848533357328158
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 172488173.96593177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.09843298616479,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.60449065429373
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 275453500.59084725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.69413685442122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.022089362260445
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 181882227.86271593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.96989783299944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.309692232290395
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 277366598.16894716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.49791110888662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.156110546445234
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 164938785.89250466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.534012753749614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.713471722704664
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 56692402.64044426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.6282163508877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.197631372697785
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 122255315.83491461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.6467359661661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.896517487869605
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 308341272.2417656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 152.2109326175469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.18834544180377
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 278121567.76455575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.800732888432485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.91691011797681
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 470964853.7116186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.3377674723575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.76180264118329
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 366612297.7841654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.15718542584717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.939631105014187
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 270711342.88155013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.158684660129637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8961343800026
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 261961807.03556132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.23205365274154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.75998901704291
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 152840272.30103686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.655513057180585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.296045641376185
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 337238509.25527436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.64767628197069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.599495702192782
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 465855076.31502706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.13816142876962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.15396120291404
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 264457722.1571442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.23176120585861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.052944609854563
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 230411540.2892404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.873960189248368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.924384110135279
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 371198832.68369377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.10253514981072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.291705892179001
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 180704898.60001582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.318570348523096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.921233432399614
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 256406172.6393277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.892209135334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6274352500575313
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 46709279.71365415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.78309077630612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.88910153870746
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 68460141.47391653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.56646793443087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.641544393125272
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 279458764.37747747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 308.20652479070884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9113051672680745
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 946953353.3291323,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.40704836504756,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9128486713425933,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "110812",
      "hs_description": "Starch: maize (corn) starch",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33262381.51614471,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.52171932373689,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2367429003827346,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "151219",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31202003.18010427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.83872445797655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0023167316773571,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 318411896.6304993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.146006185289437,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6011213216088858,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "120190",
      "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1754524657.367796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.9874663260888,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5773580149440445,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 187088498.16825944,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "350110",
      "hs_description": "Casein",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19646916.249281943,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.69984346742605,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.184832692969209,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "071310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11708598.939774264,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.4708702579869,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8349684557756862,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "851671",
      "hs_description": "Electro-thermic appliances: coffee or tea makers, of a kind used for domestic purposes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24647627.096165325,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.721947010081124,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7654606904006469,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "830990",
      "hs_description": "Stoppers: caps and lids, of base metal",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 112531685.56261715,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.74675922528155,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6161883832774968,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 7429,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.23603619118774,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}