{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.569Z", "seo": { "title": "Ukraine exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 256, "current_lane_count": 76, "current_product_count": 76, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 413597897.1875166, "attention_trade_usd": 143063977.15077028, "critical_trade_usd": 42697149.77291676, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 45270777.971418746, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 68992116.4238599, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 311892795.3429305, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 32, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 27, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 39, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.77990996400847, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.387191341141797, "product_concentration_hhi": 1399.772702437747, "top1_product_share_pct": 18.76938485326405, "top3_product_share_pct": 54.64988109451298, "top_product_hs6": "151211", "top_product_trade_usd": 77629781.06813237, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "020714", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3191.0712890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.866936918390803, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.866936918390803, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 34.59011231043761, "critical_trade_share_pct": 10.323347885291295, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 20199824.657629248, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 42364217.21245749, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.72566807136617, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 30753290.99886689, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.407389956862772, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 41133986.58097846, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.7547470366474, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.750904592480353 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 34349125.040820315, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.494539197656234, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.752149182690836 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 33635719.664466955, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0769244500567496, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0314255590536687 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 103732888.03123279, "yoy_growth_pct": 208.40097689604974, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.11476020840594 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 177087285.55638614, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.71469706219611, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.75232484584176 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 291203398.3423192, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.44060194801364, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.33606648930736 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 312329389.07971084, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.2547198479316455, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.39942398295875 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 434602627.32671005, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.14880972529722, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.886449155459374 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 676428895.4315438, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.64307551298862, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.436767139172474 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 628724007.2471114, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.05246161224351, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.26482971409032 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1183370202.3471465, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.21775353045153, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.63986726238833 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 577646437.1012293, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.18632901559453, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.126122799391086 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 807888874.0899248, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.858713254444744, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.716933604139033 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 952376290.8391316, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.884565734609193, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.982931431694039 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1160835502.2387934, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.888324331970722, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.193270019291326 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 860561500.8140393, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.86705875601186, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1276711329348386 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1106522898.9414988, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.581501484181526, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1277275774964215 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 815259890.816966, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.322366071516036, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.112273520481697 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 641707736.014106, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.28795452318213, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.318550404820114 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 578308552.4171485, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.879759902966779, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.44984081061152 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 767207432.1228439, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.664030112672094, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.004625949354566 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 731940716.6583341, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.596764054660884, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.483138755427607 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 724893725.2310382, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9627817208296419, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.821385573785267 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 799675449.1305792, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.31623275200879, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3912134083594596 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 528027070.12026846, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.96982854802552, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.313565207574982 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 363446662.1334007, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.168933810416455, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.55703438111577 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 427051355.9721843, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.50042040981461, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.86863539354493 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "151211", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172506591.10720214, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.267004126115925, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6146072773225044, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 774282539.4758246, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.385751193804658, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6503694787316565, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020712", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, not cut in pieces, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 610584890.5347251, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.01561589638468, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7883485532589588, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 463989082.6753086, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8317671251344945, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "100390", "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 815170311.5436525, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.91371411678222, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8478722556726159, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1114946654.6516287, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.39636938366876, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1194620075403376, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 199679707.55994585, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0083872416560502, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "151219", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61525110.5671931, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.014167442221485, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7013897221257139, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "150710", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, crude, whether or not degummed, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24733410.670473427, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.3198233361471, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.005789394795563, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 557675956.840582, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.81962854889795, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6417255645307112, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 3181, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.866936918390803, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.866936918390803, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }