{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.809Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ukraine exports to Kyrgyzstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Kyrgyzstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KGZ",
    "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 116,
    "current_lane_count": 28,
    "current_product_count": 28,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 24773809.937185522,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11345496.599787626,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4699828.278270969,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 12967131.513839021,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 18,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 18,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 18,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.062287478840196,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.01367323803752,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3141.2186831042977,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.80655244175311,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.41280434911735,
    "top_product_hs6": "020714",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 10357075.84320971,
    "top_product_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3417.101806640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7913340330123901,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3349345851226049,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019156,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.417894875019156,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8543.423503,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1276,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6694.2,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.276519998542934,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.221783044836409,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8474231373167171,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.829999999999995,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -9.092,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8543.423503,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1276,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6694.2
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10001541.939983621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 12498469.362420974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.965424705717343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7103867.247457314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.16210216255406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13480132.52957825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.75766381900212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.461024574505684
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 12760075.5323349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.341616602532606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6928898356958202
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6272727.971014032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.840980877279975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.06276321255673
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5323920.072567686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.125921334875992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.63102446955199
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6171875.7958894055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.927281246969516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.50271352189965
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11805415.86744608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.27759951534875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.46436076408245
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 20205422.38564507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.15383831045168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.983550759809006
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 33089826.646468036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.767062201959625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.02191771723497
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 36663703.93837377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.800531928103041,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.89878736026682
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 73321429.20836987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.98369322317319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.66949452771694
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 84089312.166107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.68586070129132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.46316385308113
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 81577798.89363508,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.986721151328686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.55050274552078
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 73866861.93202887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.452249345021047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.24735188307927203
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 109514235.95727432,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.25895278731023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.20518506662713
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 125098883.13789682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.230704386873194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.317127674515607
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 139001062.0291647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.11295204445868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.459019360309874
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 102817535.27286229,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.03111532249338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.081322982221223
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 79217010.44745909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.953793594420404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.12732229211613
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 38464238.4504776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.444471038213294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.83520901365837
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 37048458.57493505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.68076928746518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.840265628545215
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 29921746.208586954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.23619130316433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.713672316274305
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 45113584.16912544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.771896314589846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.458939066981805
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 48760073.67954181,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.082908014459944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.58843792456281
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 53675766.41925137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.081389072576453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.505827206124838
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 35359675.66162899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.123575645960635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.799421311251454
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 37936619.560092226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.2878041165395535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.0260668969669
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "export_value_usd": 35252664.8142732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.074838973376629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.076361069636988
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60448681.51659924,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.952567437148396,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9501070470763665,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139647811.6383148,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.24688663056195,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "170490",
      "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26963700.55098397,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.4715748415126,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8061460411397995,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "481420",
      "hs_description": "Wallpaper and similar wall coverings: coated or covered on the face side, with a grained, embossed, coloured, design-printed or otherwise decorated layer of plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14189165.946159296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.97968974129576,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0160543063091454,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "180690",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37533091.250939205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.92508359638126,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1732569779545134,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "392490",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24416041.635773014,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0129090662359501,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16119894.816902839,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.1478917389337,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.434096466364615,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "180631",
      "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21934829.39331398,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.695396572863453,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7543571810831986,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "300420",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13071471.78367218,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.919527755592526,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0155621306015141,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
      "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
      "hs_code": "392321",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37265723.25392741,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8001693135680127,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UKR",
    "importer_iso3": "KGZ",
    "distance_km": 3423,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345,
    "importer_population": 6694.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3349345851226049,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019156,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.417894875019156
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-KGZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-KGZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-KGZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-KGZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-KGZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}