{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.392Z", "seo": { "title": "Ukraine exports to Finland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Finland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FIN", "country_name": "Finland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "all_history_lane_count": 178, "current_lane_count": 105, "current_product_count": 105, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 69976740.49088213, "attention_trade_usd": 35543818.56985685, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 50021472.07837162, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 14925823.208623748, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 35628.79017701347, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32789361.945665956, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 58, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 41, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3419703723651797, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.073342408159075, "product_concentration_hhi": 1532.451875311495, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.16877306684503, "top3_product_share_pct": 48.26689091734237, "top_product_hs6": "260112", "top_product_trade_usd": 26009495.872631036, "top_product_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: agglomerated (excluding roasted iron pyrites)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "260112", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1135.325439453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.016599999740719795, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.105708072406131, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.761484444061303, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0205073010766283, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7409771429846743, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 13, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 299155.23758899997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 53983, "buyer_population_latest": 5541.696, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2678409235528108, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9075316398649012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3535649209532643, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.496, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.092, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.79376135630119, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 299155.23758899997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 53983, "buyer_population_2024": 5541.696 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 21636611.60651427, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 21765724.790982075, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5967347698238035, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 28078368.92084808, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.002682844181905, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 25898990.003188718, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.7617717888206155, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.177181553518962 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 16246320.036264827, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.2704494103262, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.288860291239875 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 20113273.85076463, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.802029049458806, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.524603771304053 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 24025420.57660271, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.450571572113095, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4719838188181242 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 25305492.946764424, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.3279915166535075, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.918636973980371 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 57438890.283998884, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.98190627953387, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.875615292113565 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 35180822.336526036, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.75086694297334, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.556412196900292 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 34448948.63119306, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0803200628233265, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.829078792962864 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 46463780.747490205, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.877209882155526, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.824263376861173 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 60382350.24716036, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.95574031160171, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.729547757263944 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 74984328.99409606, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.182527985687983, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.597964123648946 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 48185522.582808495, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.73920947321885, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.220235328769781 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 48821464.09162478, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.319777133730149, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.839117173433085 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 75582796.53299569, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.814686407492964, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2653365039886557 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 61694494.748105094, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.374950943800616, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.586694480113511 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 74495180.19096194, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.748505186923527, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.125746319623534 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 73164646.96155952, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.786066193801683, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0780258306267054 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 55667195.30797309, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.915172669089124, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3687398921710354 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 69443401.18445301, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.74744021189583, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3135630005031937 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 89258468.12694177, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.53412506374322, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.852014871841328 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 95816734.1660476, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.3475001047282, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.843368600678456 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 65512045.975203805, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.627761533101996, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9238536245529847 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 71673622.52396367, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.405257395093436, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.052729233661282 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 117275381.90962884, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.624186667024496, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.968317264071322 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 73884240.44263312, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.99936061639302, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.090289567315208 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 67611281.82256056, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.490252566030165, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9261393488238299 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 80580803.27747369, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.182481244698792, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.758087500881764 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "260112", "hs_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: agglomerated (excluding roasted iron pyrites)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 406349139.4239938, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6941709388818622, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "630532", "hs_description": "Sacks and bags: of a kind used for the packing of goods, of man-made textile materials, flexible intermediate bulk containers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19100337.411630582, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.602467075457122, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218064317.83773005, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.95607175232853, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8637493737401853, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "430110", "hs_description": "Furskins: raw, of mink, whole, with or without head, tail or paws", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172179919.78778794, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.62246233075518, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6837237304284374, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "120600", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sunflower seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13447309.825652398, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.563109684503807, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1727150244077293, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "853110", "hs_description": "Signalling apparatus: electric, sound or visual, burglar or fire alarms and similar, other than those of heading no. 8512 or 8530", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32752312.02953474, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3474835954706172, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "732510", "hs_description": "Iron: articles of non-malleable cast iron", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22338634.73953667, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.502334304310374, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9881228952853385, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "841480", "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.s. in heading no. 8414", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104267431.11174232, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.759875199655076, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4784287469133468, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62003614.06572479, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3169836997835586, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "950611", "hs_description": "Skis: for snow", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18294321.050557032, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.98653086385137, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6618089135304724, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "distance_km": 1138, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 299155.23758899997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 53982.61427350038, "importer_population": 5541.696, "importer_biz_entry_days": 13, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.105708072406131, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.761484444061303, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0205073010766283, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7409771429846743 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-FIN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-FIN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-FIN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-FIN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-FIN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }