# Ukraine exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BLR/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Ukraine reported $597.6M in goods exports to Belarus. The overall review level is Critical attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $597.6M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 74.5% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 8 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 95 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.1 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 62.9% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 120190 | Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken | $98.7M | 77% | Critical attention |
| 2 | 860719 | Railway or tramway locomotives or rolling stock: parts, axles and wheels, and parts thereof | $90.5M | 60.6% | Critical attention |
| 3 | 230630 | Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of sunflower seed oils | $82.9M | 85.8% | Critical attention |
| 4 | 720851 | Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness exceeding 10mm | $45.4M | 20.9% | High attention |
| 5 | 230400 | Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil | $65.4M | 78.4% | Critical attention |
| 6 | 722540 | Steel, alloy: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, not in coils | $83.2M | 69% | Critical attention |
| 7 | 740811 | Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm | $100.5M | 55.1% | Critical attention |
| 8 | 720852 | Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm | $72.6M | 54.1% | Critical attention |
| 9 | 390120 | Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more | $45.3M | 49.3% | High attention |
| 10 | 860692 | Railway or tramway goods vans and wagons: open, with non-removable sides of a height exceeding 60cm, not self-propelled | $26.2M | 90.3% | Critical attention |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.