# Ukraine exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BGR/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Ukraine reported $1.1B in goods exports to Bulgaria. The overall review level is High attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $1.1B | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 73.2% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 1 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 19 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.6 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 20.2% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 151211 | Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified | $287.7M | 24.2% | High attention |
| 2 | 720711 | Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness | $239.5M | 39.8% | High attention |
| 3 | 720839 | Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm | $144.0M | 0% | High attention |
| 4 | 720838 | Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm | $103.9M | 0% | High attention |
| 5 | 720720 | Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight 0.25% or more of carbon | $69.1M | 18.7% | High attention |
| 6 | 170199 | Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter | $127.8M | 0% | Watch |
| 7 | 860719 | Railway or tramway locomotives or rolling stock: parts, axles and wheels, and parts thereof | $62.0M | 43.9% | Stable |
| 8 | 120590 | Oil seeds: rape or colza seeds, other than low erucic, whether or not broken | $49.4M | 0% | High attention |
| 9 | 720837 | Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm | $47.8M | 0% | Watch |
| 10 | 220210 | Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured | $171.0M | 0% | Watch |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.