{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.457Z", "seo": { "title": "Ukraine exports to Burkina Faso: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ukraine to Burkina Faso, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BFA", "country_name": "Burkina Faso" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5182878.773436896, "attention_trade_usd": 3621318.1449348535, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3740852.9247166123, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1561560.6285020425, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 541574.1939654708, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0782527945937754, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.98313199745948, "product_concentration_hhi": 5340.8529347622325, "top1_product_share_pct": 69.87078616414306, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.69366051171419, "top_product_hs6": "170199", "top_product_trade_usd": 3621318.1449348535, "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5147.14208984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.557202502298852, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.557202502298852, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 13, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 19737.615114, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 918, "buyer_population_latest": 21497.097, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.600276026848918, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.125008444811874, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.3545944192113977, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.353999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.87, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 69.87078616414306, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 19737.615114, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 918, "buyer_population_2024": 21497.097 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 17415.167577158638, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 141945.6780173343, "yoy_growth_pct": 715.0692629768732, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 35762.252883038374, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.80567680357896, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 784936.9091419182, "yoy_growth_pct": 2094.8754506856158, "cagr_3y_pct": 255.87900229415786 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 1128371.1502875907, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.753101318819354, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.57674416092534 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 5140652.951446879, "yoy_growth_pct": 355.5817427746773, "cagr_3y_pct": 423.83897165885764 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 6806928.138972821, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.41368758528924, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.44968116957509 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 17422358.33946738, "yoy_growth_pct": 155.95037855205635, "cagr_3y_pct": 149.01087980072893 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 13381401.90278953, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.19408404959593, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.56072089526368 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 24766246.44299479, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.0796099161474, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.80472403306242 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 23684513.63676753, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.36777050053635, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.777742262378066 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 7726165.910859227, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.37882808424985, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.73020955191281 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 20424386.824760966, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.3534588877288, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2230121385725585 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 23412326.67995663, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.629275683191212, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.384549927558242 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 31082514.97132756, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.761324392151934, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.044030781034905 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 13845891.80690659, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.4544031598508, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.153599937774972 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 8308005.973414944, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.99659906868004, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.202583774862813 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 4136331.39027353, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.21270562985257, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.94561393603922 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 4557825.447956968, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.190045668840032, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.952877379159595 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 15000442.972245427, "yoy_growth_pct": 229.11402912477334, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.76872574643316 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 14489795.364454066, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.404216853703501, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.87360741422129 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 18193482.897895444, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.560661419188534, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.63026606444501 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 18505950.236919817, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7174685065964868, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.251267959531038 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 31123745.53640574, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.18236911884219, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.02579230557949 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 16534879.15030486, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.873749077006636, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.136150148443184 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 4109375.124915804, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.14723217774447, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.44433200478568 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "export_value_usd": 5731016.353358811, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.46199067130023, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.10860312831855 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25460829.297861136, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1091421552907323, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "hs_code": "110710", "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20189123.70113282, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.8548507126354, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9314745254687895, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12291562.072084103, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.90119944001367, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8277141065376372, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18744906.493342184, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.7793325648389, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.279483452437805, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UKR", "importer_iso3": "BFA", "distance_km": 5130, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 19737.615114, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 918.152581904431, "importer_population": 21497.097, "importer_biz_entry_days": 13, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.557202502298852, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.557202502298852, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BFA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BFA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BFA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BFA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UKR-BFA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }