{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.631Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uganda exports to Sudan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Sudan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SDN",
    "country_name": "Sudan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 26,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2012,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 64140506.66,
    "attention_trade_usd": 62139367.769999996,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1956719.5099999998,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1055695.46,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 44419.38,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 64140506.66,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.39143830969108245,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 43.99195467160736,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9389.580500092843,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 96.88007003030431,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.59633312319706,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 62139367.769999996,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 1693.6116943359375,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.276824074567898,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.276824074567898,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 764,
    "buyer_population_latest": 44909.351,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.963299846148697,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.75887703740905,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.064861974623877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.215999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.823999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.88007003030431,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 764,
    "buyer_population_2024": 44909.351
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 248720043.01259524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 127959948.11318307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.55261901562828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 71349233.12530278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.2409643194033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 67045348.36552448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.032138778870766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.40196771561771
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 51583686.566271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.061498189192875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.128070873596187
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 66745202.786761254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.392075731174884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.198935363614418
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 51953871.27581,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.1608908106952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.149169509950926
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 45110645.75192615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.171733608752456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.371159711886385
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 89926997.99999993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.3476185079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.447700818738603
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 46741637.88999975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.02268625713516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4626578928368845
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 103406104.77555393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.22909988500297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.85270532219193
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 116217532.81307477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.389431035361431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.924903853158227
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 66622418.70999082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.67438217162392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.539631733964264
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 64168465.58422673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.342900089576425,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3473458992280033,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "871120",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with an auxiliary motor, reciprocating internal combustion piston engine, of cylinder capacity exceeding 50cc but not exceeding 250cc, with or without side-cars: side-cars",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10561201.837,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.649547248817754,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3141511704272124,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "252329",
      "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13772794.864148118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.11550942871847,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3279822116671602,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41269534.451000005,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.52456616214018,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8238527558628197,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17151173.903975483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.15676658556308,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7798772681882826,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "distance_km": 1685,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 34326.058557,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 764.341006776072,
    "importer_population": 44909.351,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.276824074567898,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.276824074567898,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}