{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.459Z", "seo": { "title": "Uganda exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5153192.238365094, "attention_trade_usd": 3446922.2791542048, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4298807.840251782, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 157939.49434954845, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4177506.917550555, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4044517846745779, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.1170362062762065, "product_concentration_hhi": 4825.391113801002, "top1_product_share_pct": 66.8890683621727, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.84141903151783, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 3446922.2791542048, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3107.7958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 66.8890683621727, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 687828.3501660705, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 554713.3252944811, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.352942465871003, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1823400.5510086592, "yoy_growth_pct": 228.71042894826243, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 793984.2776658684, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.455849636183544, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.900432035478253 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 154500.19795777393, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.54115146814127, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.69394036998638 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1540587.8862561882, "yoy_growth_pct": 897.142985329535, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.463076363013886 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 66001.11939174053, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.7158484770297, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.35714704633218 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 16735.176759168582, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.64410162524781, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.33125101044417 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 365825.20082886674, "yoy_growth_pct": 2085.965562798401, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.07551829134803 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 420800.13370204257, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.027650568800798, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.42780438206654 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 39964.615491211254, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.50270846170663, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.66420254838789 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 48389.44991564905, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.080734346838703, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.04825975575452 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 199054.11640024552, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.3585022091185, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.083082187497773 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1216334.4584356342, "yoy_growth_pct": 511.0571740148821, "cagr_3y_pct": 212.2188529316559 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 251843.81769957722, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.29485463862616, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.29799430253136 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 322888.71644480404, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.20990381823698, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.497123653784797 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 624093.8887052657, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.28451473216808, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.943062390469468 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 740938.6192912897, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.722300073860374, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.29036177612362 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1169952.7335091224, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.90143785839994, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.59313891095723 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1310459.4156269568, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.00960330221228, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.05342982141088 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1640231.6039467521, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.16462428270043, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.328975488670086 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1401530.9848707889, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.552860614415541, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.204959018529399 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3020530.517924954, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.51649949454563, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.095052192094606 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 4937676.54042525, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.47050662535065, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.390677327463976 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6684496.955733728, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.37737640380216, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.32760417330961 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 4711127.530103184, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.52158462631741, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.970414901642638 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6139107.295846312, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.31078561594047, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.529475906465555 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 10847805.68152959, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.7000503292907, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.514391395762697 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 8710682.62246478, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.700971070155326, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.737077067010738 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 11368041.673122888, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.506897861308847, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.798617583001768 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 392063039.54887855, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5613794149259383, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 168796234.09922576, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7377088655038047, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080440", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26371284.19561127, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.989374430439376, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.26760358308778853, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19117448.45809484, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5823548003280685, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "030462", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, catfish (Pangasius spp., Silurus spp., Clarias spp., Ictalurus spp.)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22261700.456321914, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.83053312415257, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7113002098733474, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080430", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pineapples, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19551314.474146437, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9629863653742545, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 3097, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }