{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.436Z", "seo": { "title": "Uganda exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 21739773.274018977, "attention_trade_usd": 9432733.202877294, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20442277.23890014, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10730229.237996131, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8001308.088635906, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0185800988198275, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.544531783013994, "product_concentration_hhi": 3753.431056677425, "top1_product_share_pct": 50.54447352621515, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.93376321190969, "top_product_hs6": "071333", "top_product_trade_usd": 10988253.947145717, "top_product_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090240", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5624.4716796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00800000037997961, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242424, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 43.38928968569454, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 374734.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1549503, "yoy_growth_pct": 313.4930017212169, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6069876.33404837, "yoy_growth_pct": 291.7305312766978, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4280481.001541743, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.479930628391738, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.21091686984644 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 910296.7758691986, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.73377371511921, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.247677128424655 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1846347.5844997573, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.82919081381658, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.74707052748737 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2129699.925157698, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.346641284485507, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.760459716250868 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2124358.9822756695, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2507838225910164, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.64217489748622 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 519322.7497208775, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.5539080704446, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.479888404273865 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1524665.934932922, "yoy_growth_pct": 193.58735694756112, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.542087335000739 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5535365.417318427, "yoy_growth_pct": 263.05431179991285, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.60666290776575 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6160854.468572124, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.299869188341871, "cagr_3y_pct": 128.06984497644086 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9909241.278008042, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.841995677016314, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.61873246291836 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9584844.643825045, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2736778233762753, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.08246489641636 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 14816337.622264108, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.58088443623765, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.97794287310057 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9715608.693502124, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.426381598494736, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6556428304884676 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 12668878.372753609, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.397165760974442, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.744903993537669 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8088555.982255797, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.15412711158793, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.270901230764647 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6289710.592349208, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.239388512026014, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.492542249286387 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6980048.075455229, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.975663712504446, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.020219900233602 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6645462.8502182355, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.79345158686707, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.340591012534125 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6453052.8121266775, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.89535947199282, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8582710108479885 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 11701296.671444565, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.32962819481821, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.793275916620434 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 18742695.87445444, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.176230042893096, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.28702305775309 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 19490178.26153403, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9881263191085647, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.54958992775311 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 34354814.011536546, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.26731551932224, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.191708332258784 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 34149076.08823763, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5988619913058768, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.137483231668085 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 40428018.20520499, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.38685796577113, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.53289367096179 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 33796137.34112594, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.404170074369894, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5450305771601993 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 22510376.653913684, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.39364073857875, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.970210207882705 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70908244.99487367, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.366516915799668, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.035065870683247, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 607243711.3984448, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.63591248334818, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0558057164125914, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520100", "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1463385749.5472171, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.58311811728612, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0523709905854166, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520300", "hs_description": "Cotton: carded or combed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31167521.23208519, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.52388913146042, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5384271690371538, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "391590", "hs_description": "Plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3915: waste, parings and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11355549.00290638, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.87389618023458, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7398033482496345, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "848190", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20967791.603942752, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.100961258125438, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 4602, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242424, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }