{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.859Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uganda exports to Namibia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Namibia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 108830.98538575783,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 108830.98538575783,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 108830.98538575783,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9370603141449507,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "732690",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 108830.98538575783,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3051.572021484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4729,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2587.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2904996761134768,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3852682406449879,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.713355164102671,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.18,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.026,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4729,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2587.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 98382.01459063313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 11387.697035263216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.42502150149359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 7980.67424530465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.91845304110531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 9404.403002355657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.83970518391531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.2766011022449
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 6902.7892263059275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.60045273924474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.368981123903447
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3176.3563688502686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.98445085436694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.442005638097765
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 5992.0082261220105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.6440792627721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.950756521264074
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 4761.908375034593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.529008049835916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.640725617832482
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 11424.404999445032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 139.91232295312778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.21506023578584
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 18960.785396195224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.9673777069028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.81191624828283
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 16757.0659097112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.622511622995502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.10342065704532
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 36424.20496392338,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.3662451420837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.18114035758101
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 251437.84695517799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 590.3042831112346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 136.69628527362946
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 107588.00635419619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.21089420027721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.86115315997485
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 264826.74728607625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 146.14894936729848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.72719415346629
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 23448.065114204557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.14588486453937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.651932185499305
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3535658.2250526096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14978.677954159852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 220.30875231588186
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 46960.46199674251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.67180425800224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.81890863394907
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 20528.41567096686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.28574592730615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.335793434875013
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 7649.613215317788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.7364656974646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -87.06629156318932
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 245536.23249692313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3109.786241286747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.564569576869
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3311.322670640437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.65139143133105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.56452421292618
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 103182.22184449392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3016.042503479059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 138.0428454219587
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 171087.70276033552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.81122183837256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.345441967408254
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 369408.7024710775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.91774073239831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 381.3953304183064
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26303809.087770686,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9370603141449507,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "distance_km": 3038,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "importer_population": 2587.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-NAM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-NAM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-NAM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-NAM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-NAM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}