{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.820Z", "seo": { "title": "Uganda exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1779444.7219451712, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 162253.75528815825, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 801875.588006299, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 801875.588006299, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1779444.7219451712, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6430216403622377, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.11844379948051, "product_concentration_hhi": 4030.507035781565, "top1_product_share_pct": 51.408895160453426, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.47214315670148, "top_product_hs6": "253090", "top_product_trade_usd": 914792.871543015, "top_product_description": "Mineral substances: n.e.c. in chapter 25", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 14330.9326171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004000000189989805, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 17766.597660450443, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 591.4652280797542, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.67091449143133, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 87625.55229632847, "yoy_growth_pct": 14714.996408294843, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 52234.74709813355, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.38868146418268, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.25784359971625 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 97846.08468046343, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.3199165617472, "cagr_3y_pct": 448.95668492910704 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 382239.12607481726, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.6534710337138, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.393505504504 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 359001.2821876351, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.07939959621866, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.1277466670153 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 185485.3439667298, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.33295779991552, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.762398090811132 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 36730.30223019996, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.19773344637503, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.196733189619465 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 91262.35158033355, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.46610574659763, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.65214920279005 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 184632.9407043819, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.31008461562494, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1534195525379145 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 71586.92314577554, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.2274370582689, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.911684441923022 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1008215.9590348362, "yoy_growth_pct": 1308.3800710106823, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.71730912789263 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 725761.3334898162, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.015290078864997, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.819821025811045 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 582680.094348567, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.71464068680051, "cagr_3y_pct": 101.15561589284079 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 780426.297564178, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.93735346952089, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.182363524452917 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 903594.2224938205, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.782134112352075, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.578761370412379 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 643436.2781758931, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.79145725388993, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.361416857504862 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 508892.9489828428, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.910124864963066, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.284211100308308 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3368808.037391846, "yoy_growth_pct": 561.9875642068338, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.06041419534724 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1563913.3074494232, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.57665708194477, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.452550139563584 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3267576.2968166266, "yoy_growth_pct": 108.93589697409105, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.86592090767505 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2028683.6443462938, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.91472761255186, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.553947208698748 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4065930.279008059, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.42209589155684, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.50413257047258 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4450753.781883596, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.46458685881404, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.85006297548292 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1961186.9783141937, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.93584650094476, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1215709830905807 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4914929.288838958, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.60992874140723, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.525222238089601 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7167684.729379467, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.83495118955558, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.214617593639115 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4570420.475513125, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.23574908673748, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.5803166389107 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2507226.485985711, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.14232335036476, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.097795009391227 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "253090", "hs_description": "Mineral substances: n.e.c. in chapter 25", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41893295.50169293, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3184584717068193, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 349827760.2357849, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.25264619028518, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9482754355138612, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "030481", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, salmon, Pacific (Oncorhynchus nerka, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, Oncorhynchus keta, Oncorhynchus tschawytscha, Oncorhynchus kisutch, Oncorhynchus masou, Oncorhynchus rhodurus), Atlantic (Salmo salar), and Danube (Hucho hucho)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 152339935.6538272, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.11238490514663, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5183639467495267, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "151590", "hs_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: fixed, n.e.s. in heading no. 1515, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56971687.5387981, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 14330, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }