{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.607Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uganda exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 80,
    "current_lane_count": 26,
    "current_product_count": 26,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 450391381.5054595,
    "attention_trade_usd": 347623119.96423495,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 94599562.50474758,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 351190542.43172383,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8380836.97108548,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.553450619734395,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.72254318792664,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6113.329349676204,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 76.18281714236441,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 95.17014309206726,
    "top_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 343120842.5972731,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5691.47119140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.018400000408291817,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 52.105527508181815,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.11391504293737373,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 53.117104970799986,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.18245380324205,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 637534.7514965207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1704611.880725631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 167.37552372232273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 938821.1193183173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.924640621496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 832588.0715638519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.31557924811083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.305523164942553
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1967594.7865672717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.32272113525894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.898686631132243
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3771827.0450533163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.69734900719905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.97285475733523
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1360477.4175625052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.93054609047499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.78420391577338
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1585808.3014633674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.562633160392725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.938151526632574
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1369272.7856103638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.654583322157343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.663345951671893
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5755808.890282297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 320.35516595158214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.73537112865848
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2565124.676847059,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.43415833041582,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.38680003039754
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2629599.786760983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.513527334397425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.298692337927296
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 9809906.778347066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 273.05702669037885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.450004810544442
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 18171680.39820888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.23805382451089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.05643822156348
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13833868.73175827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.871274265192188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.9207227486536
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13186573.037278457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.679064888000739,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.36270962345489
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 18287346.414024092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.681569216852196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.21172407794149972
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 24704745.794340152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.092020652021574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.32368134073832
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 28558548.993707586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.599444865570478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.3802733802869
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 36316189.860116854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.163988156816153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.694573513020956
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 34480533.908767074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.054649065390349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.754374172490945
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 61357523.64774625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.94829920584667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.035901942130906
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 55228822.553541474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.988507895771138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.99752730031143
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 37023823.66923013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.96285896130149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4005829400147283
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 49993190.37755144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.029787372015605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.599827910931366
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 48813519.80245411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.359662518411787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.032367711389028
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 70753328.36304717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.94617198141495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.09526246361351
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 400230827.5455604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 465.67067133846916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.04754592715561
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 804008068.9527833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 100.8860921292373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 154.4329935016647
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 454037997.47433245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.52817900624869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.8296925201526
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53809527310.56449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.31205372319137,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.38276699360735633,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 232224814.92726868,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1304136902325572,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "071360",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: pigeon peas (Cajanus cajan), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1069783406.7055086,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.2886432568223,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0941419436858966,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "071333",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133931199.5233552,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3923773677434554,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4503674662017325,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 166567625.66452152,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.90961553186838,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8971956846314013,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "380510",
      "hs_description": "Terpenic oils: gum, wood or sulphate turpentine oils",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139536479.53198427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6321219953118739,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "330129",
      "hs_description": "Oils, essential: n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132132226.19261539,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.26213306566668,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6479779646492865,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "350300",
      "hs_description": "Gelatin (including gelatin in rectangular sheets, whether or not surface-worked or coloured) and gelatin derivatives: isinglass: other glues of animal origin, excluding casein glues of heading no. 3501",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45200095.23705135,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.6966047953042,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0693084498251848,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "440839",
      "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4408.31, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn length wise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 185537372.12040266,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.809244929651077,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "040410",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: whey, whether or not concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24252351.432610273,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46749288388134974,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 5687,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 52.105527508181815,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.11391504293737373,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 53.117104970799986
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}