{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.472Z", "seo": { "title": "Uganda exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 2, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4654245.770354957, "attention_trade_usd": 2534271.7600433184, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4654245.770354957, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2534271.7600433184, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.707942420930473, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 5039.618363075318, "top1_product_share_pct": 54.45075067125305, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 2534271.7600433184, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6611.158203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03680000081658363, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.5507612715475096, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.38767472589540236, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.532395622288506, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 54.45075067125305, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 21714.04860870522, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2558.004446824547, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.21958772902887, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 16832.110377581623, "yoy_growth_pct": 558.0172445937947, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3737.2924820273274, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.7966493910059, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.37473488910519 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7317.5611579833685, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.7984608690271, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.956414627542735 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 22305.48097203956, "yoy_growth_pct": 204.82124427077127, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.83927913026783 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 13.62292642094586, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.93892565491853, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.6100299533391 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1293.0951382276367, "yoy_growth_pct": 9392.051107605228, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.88382778707406 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 94143.79585826339, "yoy_growth_pct": 7180.500334051238, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.60695134739647 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 46311.69761825622, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.80748848497672, "cagr_3y_pct": 1403.6269345898154 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 57444.44961624551, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.038747380317837, "cagr_3y_pct": 254.1651829764167 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 240869.46512618355, "yoy_growth_pct": 319.30850889041284, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.771837333884825 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1444691.928717033, "yoy_growth_pct": 499.78209689642756, "cagr_3y_pct": 214.7952581515789 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 975707.5795771597, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.46258526247582, "cagr_3y_pct": 157.05370546140088 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 279057.3710219027, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.39948721697569, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0277149352636386 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 191603.97168938816, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.338860182141726, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.00318103456017 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 272940.58101823967, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.45037752177048, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.59923761270204 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 189259.15693518365, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.659209330789793, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.140687435214058 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 464042.6242740665, "yoy_growth_pct": 145.18899470369564, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.29230320346195 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 143887.65982063545, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.99257691128508, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.21727866485784 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 330237.158218105, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.5104101559267, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.389796147796126 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 547822.5781631514, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.88762485696485, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.688406780471689 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 928149.6076108877, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.42521988103749, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.15075930272194 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 201913.8618008624, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.24554790034328, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.12494561093386 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 37738.86603941144, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.30942288814653, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.00637666265587 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2373349.222202677, "yoy_growth_pct": 6188.872643190025, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.745975489921044 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2308057.247111443, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7510479486300476, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.26487599119096 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4667729.966173135, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.23631679911085, "cagr_3y_pct": 398.2404223513394 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45412373.55015451, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5104740232215395, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141579339.57787722, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9440012506050819, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 6592, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.5507612715475096, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.38767472589540236, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.532395622288506 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }