{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.389Z", "seo": { "title": "Uganda exports to Democratic Republic of the Congo: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Democratic Republic of the Congo, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "COD", "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "all_history_lane_count": 124, "current_lane_count": 114, "current_product_count": 114, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 157817325.0094931, "attention_trade_usd": 40865587.00191935, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 73362629.12578216, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20837908.763447717, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 96584248.50070497, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 74, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 60, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 76, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1085942381950435, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.693343501826561, "product_concentration_hhi": 1182.9527398497519, "top1_product_share_pct": 30.638415790689038, "top3_product_share_pct": 44.43083762838307, "top_product_hs6": "252329", "top_product_trade_usd": 48352728.22615158, "top_product_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.660344800514007, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.199432904881163, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.289857939407459, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.894233728433292, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 37034088.09073281, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 39652218.499999896, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.069514990763959, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 7439145.4999999665, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.23901819011718, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 4328532.499999939, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.814116957384975, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.10703864374639 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 3522953.4999999865, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.610903348882424, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.37826287019183 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 6053924.999999989, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.84231923583471, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.637746077221385 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 8492859.166666567, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.28682493864035, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.190415235315267 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 7204916.999989709, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.165000871931023, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.932847794329142 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 12655054.49999964, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.64469514385408, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.862245689478083 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 28771007.222246286, "yoy_growth_pct": 127.34795193688898, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.18747454376058 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 60106619.44196024, "yoy_growth_pct": 108.91385198181266, "cagr_3y_pct": 102.81392669662407 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 44794746.99999932, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.4745194191902, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.40095533267948 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 99903789.4352743, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.0256807461728, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.42896890983681 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 124936231.74882524, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.056549361192104, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.620967696206122 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 102946329.04563868, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.600901192054184, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.96575868393787 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 114501976.15953173, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.22492392008474, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.651070084814557 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 116732315.78017269, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9478612469827628, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2385653675747963 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 138892765.92173955, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.983989132280076, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.498467268923672 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 141650926.50609913, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.985820187290166, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.350023981170661 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 113316223.18445748, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.003189545266853, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9851509007884562 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 108174203.37046102, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.5377613809332695, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.994308660195449 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 111630612.22591, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1952246910586624, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.632051991672883 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 126047658.0086288, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.914957192515097, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6129955856326834 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 109366335.84428267, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.234138918474937, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.366008333428236 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 122434344.24327251, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.948839922365373, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.127221663342472 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 142803901.4785829, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.637126911740395, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.248167757619892 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 177211195.642206, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.094085530837805, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.454365903089062 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 189749719.61826584, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.075469431048487, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.724672687975527 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 172560600.68352872, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.058837593709123, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.512486607069556 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "export_value_usd": 226790826.25789994, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.426771441198163, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.570401154946627 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 113072458.55869773, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.93488899906887, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34885529.69794129, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.43075682656246, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0576272294623874, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34003141.74987964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3469287349050374, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40416473.19691802, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.08521426307525, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8203951962026972, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "220300", "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16704460.343122274, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8532900730784244, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 129332287.77327892, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0415770359773746, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "220720", "hs_description": "Ethyl alcohol and other spirits: denatured, of any strength", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12335710.776364263, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.01194429856098, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6091852901284265, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "730690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: tubes, pipes and hollow profiles n.e.s. in heading no. 7306", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19377685.74520731, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.64796269231891, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7436857119382836, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "220710", "hs_description": "Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20902020.28208989, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7352676657714583, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53349212.525713556, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.9269001346616514, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2093488291639702, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UGA", "importer_iso3": "COD", "distance_km": 1988, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 53958.573693000006, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 584.1064281843002, "importer_population": 92377.983, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 16.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-COD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-COD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-COD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-COD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-COD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }