{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.456Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uganda exports to Bangladesh: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uganda to Bangladesh, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGD",
    "country_name": "Bangladesh"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "BGD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 48,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3654395.22,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3654395.22,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3654395.22,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3654395.22,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1593382898479287,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 80.04897207064425,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "520100",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3654395.22,
    "top_product_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "520100",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6747.75634765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0015999999595806003,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 416264.942893,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2503,
    "buyer_population_latest": 166303.497,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.0864745482300355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.017573535128394,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0276157929608232,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.848000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.520000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 416264.942893,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2503,
    "buyer_population_2024": 166303.497
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 7517.732092901396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 35395.22043623848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 370.8231152538723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 1315485.7406322018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3616.5632094365365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 452419.7611805886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.60815923681827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 291.87862339432434
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 670649.1693443285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.236046894651665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 166.593929800033
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 484726.13679010107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.722845423934274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.308098791984882
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 279076.61052892706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.42592066996907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.874314050490522
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 887920.4497085585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.16369276726726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.806038188487243
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 1310636.689730897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.60744503193799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.31417084541315
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 3437823.086466804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.3017586340167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.95109623333622
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 785970.1940021317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.1375613510727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9839122893975842
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 5777541.318743983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 635.084022630038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.96591600345123
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 666947.172108228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.45621112315611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.11012160967593
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 4790345.56773376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 618.2496257674233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.66426302728284
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 9739649.051052513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.31829746596325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.01455653825488
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 11237971.864420613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.383745405140491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 156.36899545181967
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 31071944.69586523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.49067884071607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.49500190128741
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 28774246.306083843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.394768535640262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.489531037090416
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 36873349.453492396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.147055743024385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.59637544809925
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 46674087.84281321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.579463310438566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.525571592271325
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 59471141.42489399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.41789753916155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.379861510726244
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 62329762.84713227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.806737106010361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.122635987229565
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 80457463.85838136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.08353920053961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.903032343729944
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 2687925.4654544014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.65919687676758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.37920161378432
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 1709971.9999999974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.3832062318394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -69.84001127342472
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 2975440.7199999974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.00523049500237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.68332483942622
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 2862832.0599999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7846043862704737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.123623718948209
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 4271809.640000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.21621493927244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.68785096418807
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 5841316.600000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.741032308733665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.214074498030193
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2757236222.7230816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.04897207064425,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1593382898479287,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UGA",
    "importer_iso3": "BGD",
    "distance_km": 6749,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 416264.942893,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2503.0438349291,
    "importer_population": 166303.497,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-BGD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-BGD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-BGD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-BGD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UGA-BGD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}