{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.757Z", "seo": { "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TZA", "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 73, "current_lane_count": 61, "current_product_count": 61, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 389670688.0745411, "attention_trade_usd": 381983346.56622535, "critical_trade_usd": 21014910.888140228, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 388971567.5299617, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31259363.341909572, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 63512190.058911964, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 389670688.0745411, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 11, "high_volatility_lane_count": 55, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 30, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 42, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.2276793402516115, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.677779849728107, "product_concentration_hhi": 6000.795993803936, "top1_product_share_pct": 76.78938206448848, "top3_product_share_pct": 90.12408638185705, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 299225713.4588805, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1538.8367919921875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01600000075995922, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.798747958121215, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2515808719567677, "tariff_advantage_pp": 21.2974205526897, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.0272209987616, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.392992475769754, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 8467835.456086254, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 10704826.767905047, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.41751039471316, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 3172141.4415592533, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.36718565993154, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 11571428.749822916, "yoy_growth_pct": 264.78287500745955, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.969814075004237 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 20498168.48232295, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.14466316561509, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.178136503678104 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 13923375.785418686, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.07502515443848, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.730906761140524 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 6849548.076619237, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.805406805205564, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.036285304803144 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 14084582.600498771, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.62791067305808, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.757803977237625 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 20660667.43184523, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.68995182799085, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.05997379031585 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 18005378.451475576, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.851903207526272, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.01091819766575 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 39843721.13436174, "yoy_growth_pct": 121.28788484918775, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.429054148873234 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 41323661.55014353, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7143629501650066, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.99446969707302 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 21731546.66891405, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.411371950802916, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.470541020202414 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 47385070.50455698, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.04739085754576, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.948272475655925 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 35671177.654111624, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.720640331892817, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.784814647619928 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 43036893.14204701, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.648927151656228, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.57892421907635 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 56367861.11300826, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.97567458450412, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.957086549250956 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 71539408.41287644, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.91524390015745, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.10799833315218 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 78725967.24971503, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.04559444406179, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.29978619313957 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 122580355.00156029, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.705111393222026, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.557663256456678 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 50900738.11500955, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.475615350957625, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.725742831146112 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 114578448.74815483, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.10174310098674, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.32567407543932 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 135349123.16139808, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.127906809855233, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.358180930363752 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 198436160.96140152, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.61059955650752, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.38581189200058 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 161280259.539667, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.724360137647412, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.07087391055206 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 57145514.52529236, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.56757033477034, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.98025788248541 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 57646884.13761417, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8773560208297893, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.77046986357251 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 66719815.457335524, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.738806104528624, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.48828818123393 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 255339399.66577873, "yoy_growth_pct": 282.7039956803498, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.70693865640813 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 442547442.88047594, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.31733506843807, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.27013076433684 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1016166187.1347258, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.36571953099767, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35233822.883227944, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2149676762805854, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 445487431.811011, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.84853535017015, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7525695957841056, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27278347.04168613, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2564808792734938, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "271119", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12017502.097522166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2140103062121759, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "871631", "hs_description": "Tanker trailers and tanker semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34405729.03672968, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.32579919318144, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3452556510736358, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "151620", "hs_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: partly or wholly hydrogenated, inter-esterified, re-esterified or elaidinised, whether or not refined, but not further prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12177950.64060888, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5797480040775722, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20240738.255157474, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.01417109897588, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4249698575425354, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89158339.17676443, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.14488985001496, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3867712863792612, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15402934.124528209, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.07555265052396, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0338936814175823, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 1530, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.798747958121215, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646466, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2515808719567677, "tariff_advantage_pp": 21.2974205526897 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }