{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.602Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TZA",
    "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4269318.332778711,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2862008.078165172,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1113548.8076467633,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 77552.154785102,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4118754.180270275,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 4269318.332778711,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.974225202944205,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.128363206127134,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5029.604807105958,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 67.03665210887232,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.11924236917748,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2862008.078165172,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4549.421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.1205500066280365,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.03665210887232,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 74914.22815614157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 54301.64781989192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.514907172623392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 9509.87729737228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.48694527850296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 122565.78915582037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1188.8261890580554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.833375501991778
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 183780.5783776943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.94443363314891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.13969700011598
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 7025.311672346442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.1773372712385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.601013613770027
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 15922.482826234082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.64450445535893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.35376399250949
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 22896.067019481634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.79709037435913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.055566526913
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 88340.73548131427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 285.8336691893309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 132.54043016419524
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 21759.171397193757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.36903979954272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.9712610642696
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 36074.54684641589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.79007622996326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.36257741411804
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 203747.9410179577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 464.796951948963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.12268960849167
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 64729.407619218466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.23064454255594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.82015742557635
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 211863.9808995358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 227.30715248602456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.42030583357696
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 94986.71173267523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.16618193929001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.460462139139526
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 605843.8146800529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 537.8195472068794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 110.74293069719351
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1075733.683957955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.55957193786847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.87625400143396
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 589652.68637905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.18599768954557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.78545705077913
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1065430.3666562757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.68778304036736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.703944903283155
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 210572.492954868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.23592160079647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.93706874518727
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 927130.7196426792,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 340.29051783197104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.28264360708316
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 363516.2986125292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.79125727247716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.123211157496165
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 455837.29090257897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.396658318326025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.360813305343104
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 910955.9727091711,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.84235403501896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5849491944947549
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1820746.060855447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.87201526771618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.09677769975582
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 2120343.858916645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.45467231824942,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.929137187494
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 1903817.9743498804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.211828786930576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.85253547239117
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 4092873.818066056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.98241287819013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.996489947442285
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 3862225.6275923005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.635360402650768,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.126651080714478
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 4755143.280692083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.119251416091522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.679029435699135
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43010668.22233152,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9108913435087438,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97194759.92513348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2303745040792784,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "090121",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10316907.683577944,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.629665767067074,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0820404566960629,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15979895.472816259,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.447554858393666,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6156308161527786,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "080132",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, shelled, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13288416.54682134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.52666032417346,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9921541517675293,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "440290",
      "hs_description": "Wood: charcoal of wood other than bamboo (including shell or nut charcoal), whether or not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23719149.73981483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.878503137429475,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12079958.70408358,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "distance_km": 4525,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "importer_population": 6769.151,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-LBN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-LBN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-LBN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-LBN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-LBN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}