{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.018Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TZA",
    "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 38,
    "current_lane_count": 14,
    "current_product_count": 14,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 94772850.74060087,
    "attention_trade_usd": 93204335.10224947,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2391198.2521597734,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5208366.5475680735,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4724350.2319433745,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 556358.3950319272,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 94772850.74060087,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 94772850.74060087,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 3,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 14,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5507266512214152,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.55852318959824,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4491.846833578568,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.202896187182745,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.07571932199234,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 51369629.90056154,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": 11404.291015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012000000104308128,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4426770668521007,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9305985408698989,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1296258973604054,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.34497366482672,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 60247968.47372454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 51021365.779371925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.314379767637366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 49431084.201071344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.116893391637776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 55297504.22398098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.867876494569153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8175804002691374
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 55916875.17762271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1200703582082028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.101172569360755
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 39110164.04927136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.05659932706183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.509633478760691
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 70655468.43486808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.65756089863403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.512578446493935
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 115541511.0635791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.528051859266995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.369384403742902
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 108585567.53548485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.020298214956354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.54891241116123
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 77728115.67549254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.41763648737974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2311550007058987
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 70586982.21462421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.187323529984804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.147979019013869
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 83141909.35913476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.786462532618973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.515125614353158
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 63114437.04679695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.088299711555038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.706756757209131
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 134387037.44669962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.92598608945327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.93983729283391
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 151034797.86019045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.387921283028236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.016625026893966
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 134769292.89544845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.769375796297364,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.771793840515024
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 233488833.17740032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.25076667022114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.21802205972232
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 219680390.30035248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.913962860295097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.3021343234484
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 221414231.69831738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7892563353489868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.99715262509709
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 270471394.1305234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.156282392474047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.02315841503691
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 266367770.15273905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5172118260328937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.634268612871197
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 183359743.18798345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.16293946416926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.09267133331034
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 104263652.62181771,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.13710806470487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.221371816046748
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 54156399.042321526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.0582181033345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.19836957481113
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 69664507.64197011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.63578242624567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.57266145331515
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 65628451.99468827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.793560858887458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.29889760524945
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 77071329.62035683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.435848748336614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.48148049173119
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 115712459.48813882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.13684084357062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.428487896126455
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 88299466.94852088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.690614356380458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.396500590805346
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 101219538.88767698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.632106382577126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.510854494425146
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1499516097.5154953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.839772229079482,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4224170259212331,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 325669634.1862518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.228295652553896,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6450593849591981,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57691171.89161681,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.28132338974228,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.812779762704871,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "710399",
      "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, (other than rubies, sapphires and emeralds), worked other than simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65316359.45555295,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.9791819121938,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4389200583939334,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "060290",
      "hs_description": "Plants, live: n.e.s. in heading no. 0602",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70801855.30503765,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3541107383418285,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5022201800131443,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 217212557.00349876,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.69491237364935,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2297641086212372,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "440729",
      "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44504959.79352452,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.629358385736985,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2733720038882002,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "060110",
      "hs_description": "Plants, live: bulbs, tubers, tuberous roots, corms, crowns and rhizomes, dormant",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36336849.32063904,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.71433514069475,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8846493609167383,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030111",
      "hs_description": "Fish: live, ornamental, freshwater",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10703296.690969797,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5288020901069788,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "090121",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90296414.36931841,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.9854221874057,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3001036482050934,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 11394,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4426770668521007,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9305985408698989,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1296258973604054
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}