{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.353Z", "seo": { "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TZA", "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 68, "current_lane_count": 36, "current_product_count": 36, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 105188932.95315515, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15188863.752273908, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12901586.192480728, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 311688.49503505765, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2941307.4002065463, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 18, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.598570933174572, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.888256123083, "product_concentration_hhi": 2875.913440095572, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.162103481584374, "top3_product_share_pct": 82.64411579428969, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 43297977.43335213, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7186.5556640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05694400146603584, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.8758973462353911, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.87826368271605, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5985406417342553, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.2797230409817955, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 73062800.19408166, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 64386729.971330255, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.87481207906702, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 70970598.85558894, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.225505918984101, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 50560632.95617831, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.75833969069481, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.548460459362497 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 54352478.695228815, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.499601008430723, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.490747441771104 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 57308583.11514147, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.4387665307565, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.879120929061133 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 45798004.461776435, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.085261277946053, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2439750921977595 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 33396088.611174095, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.079598764948653, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.9856803888765 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 43434825.79747087, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.05961956556158, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.825623031692531 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 42681084.50474271, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7353385880784278, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3221038306878383 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 67502436.01921187, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.15539085402344, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.437125488718436 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 86631254.69526392, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.33796793734642, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.87674577125645 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 107298518.1287493, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.85659021814357, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.97302496775339 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 90041172.58270751, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.08348917301393, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.079698670022118 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 87472658.61441728, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8525994215933936, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.32270665968843204 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 115763022.77002184, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.341950734925675, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5633138976959735 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 209040759.9137876, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.57645257680772, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.41279244635196 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 224517305.0747913, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.403601655192293, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.91756432315776 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 170997251.88968098, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.837829857828417, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.886721468739571 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 237714560.0054822, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.01659668708825, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.377831321068881 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 192958750.43232313, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.827542398802542, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.9238575940248825 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 169730949.46937352, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.037702830738606, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.24745839555053717 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 86265823.1535236, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.174959886093426, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.671844122060875 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 58108091.009549394, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.640657811684115, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.97182780841682 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 69041524.38770536, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.815681582723442, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.905988169071726 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 66111080.79425695, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.244465369843786, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.48790549882057 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 80698609.71658468, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.065179917002588, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.568899228062456 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 120120386.1993794, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.85062657367316, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.273176930419503 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 142012718.35611293, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.22532614938148, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.02810763480339 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 114636679.16447324, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.277174261949682, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.41368417836346 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4251538917.3834057, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.080225986134348, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4290729365659163, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 561528135.6705703, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.754888550208076, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5074856220595477, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2318534219.066317, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.89403247214413, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5158138857999611, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "080440", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515944340.8015238, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.715695924215092, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2018650162420856, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "240130", "hs_description": "Tobacco refuse", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13272800.623939868, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.196383801038614, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5098473396347297, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "391590", "hs_description": "Plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3915: waste, parings and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94103009.30124591, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5135749316364882, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162188881.61855447, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.378277362387699, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "090411", "hs_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106014984.96984087, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.320399832619498, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "040900", "hs_description": "Honey: natural", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245685436.961818, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.91542635550568, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1404821557433402, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "080132", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, shelled, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327176144.0724525, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.35295014726006, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0853474680128128, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 7018, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.8758973462353911, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.87826368271605, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5985406417342553, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.2797230409817955 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }