{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:16.367Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to Comoros: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to Comoros, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TZA",
    "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "COM",
    "country_name": "Comoros"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "COM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 21601.717259768666,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 21601.717259768666,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 21601.717259768666,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21601.717259768666,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.2111261926248265,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 92.91955818405702,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 21601.717259768666,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 690.7506713867188,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05700000002980232,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1327.964249,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1495,
    "buyer_population_latest": 888.456,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.938196774928704,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9429022976874322,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9572666976017006,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.094,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.424,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1327.964249,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1495,
    "buyer_population_2024": 888.456
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 133665.9524998394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 32978.46145258791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.32770250327769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 19272.805042419965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.559417287771694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 54467.17153684127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 182.61154210275853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.86248779705036
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 26123.135613403665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.03875127656641,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.473747767901129
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 32560.286030541538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.641568732028475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.100731181466735
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 43953.562425554286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.99132773073879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.899270117002643
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 250588.74516752397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 470.1215813665958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.4770780909648
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 1084313.5405463232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 332.70640100832793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 221.72802275254259
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 1588846.8430593295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.53020400896231,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 230.64552684063662
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 2374961.6271064817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.477064921719304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.6240452929004
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 3609864.704843489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.99675917465425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.31794857350857
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 3685186.952155274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.086567045316756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.37089232053341
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 35821444.38966465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 872.0387284209435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.07501599413186
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 2956262.571769236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.74722677396507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.441332755434792
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 33040753.999461763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1017.6528876353444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.7447902713112
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 2510792.9161379314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.4009212496215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.76912035494265
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 3049728.1204160415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.464741309972023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0429552537416065
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 1835181.5787229165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.82474810008433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.84574037617323
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 2528287.548619982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.76770527412281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2317217011706063
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 122324624.35507904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4738.240192332855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 242.30842545893293
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 64115569.29001519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.5857214947147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 226.909961040325
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 34944647.9693883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.497406704255404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 139.98535209936813
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 21478098.359157387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.5368014639257,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.00353060618175
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 4243923.805356554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.24069107800172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.54849429528275
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 3639367.957218406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.24520976024819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.95121285048785
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 7084632.655498965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.66656679897238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.905973338100303
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 14136729.038916016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.5407486363226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.346065365532475
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 25963992.726920344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.66336834670791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.50787670836549
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "export_value_usd": 17425450.05475884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.886092528089705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.98604997698804
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
      "importer_iso3": "COM",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18393534.584465306,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.91955818405702,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2111261926248265,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TZA",
    "importer_iso3": "COM",
    "distance_km": 695,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1327.964249,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1494.6876930315063,
    "importer_population": 888.456,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 54.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-COM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-COM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-COM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-COM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-COM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}