{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.749Z", "seo": { "title": "United Rep. of Tanzania exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Rep. of Tanzania to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TZA", "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 101, "current_lane_count": 56, "current_product_count": 56, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 601433820.3454919, "attention_trade_usd": 372141575.5593492, "critical_trade_usd": 30288115.088918325, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 329120641.78478956, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 89338566.93377194, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 272500932.3993174, "access_friction_trade_usd": 601433820.3454919, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 28, "high_volatility_lane_count": 39, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 28, "access_friction_lane_count": 56, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1491075983092196, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.975010738911198, "product_concentration_hhi": 1898.6432587205215, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.54948891747673, "top3_product_share_pct": 64.47750833659148, "top_product_hs6": "120740", "top_product_trade_usd": 207792311.10622263, "top_product_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "top_attention_product_hs6": "740200", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 9422.7451171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0010000000474974513, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.81006862484848, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.3584323595704655, "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.831443208308322, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 61.87573145546978, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.035984685982475, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 8755295.499806501, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 17683225.001845293, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.9717667123412, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 14476836.792443585, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.13237239851392, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 6112297.405350772, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.77877796797998, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.288915276707979 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 6185811.849232372, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2027301521232436, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.53960431278111 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3211642.3702344545, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.08050344057906, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.46342675424722 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2739580.649251931, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.698452273441099, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.470912065465388 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4578413.949320412, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.12097709445395, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.543568683081272 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 21241848.795671992, "yoy_growth_pct": 363.9564930301897, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.71041856311386 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 121626253.19634286, "yoy_growth_pct": 472.5784717059284, "cagr_3y_pct": 254.09061220962715 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 205043336.61169937, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.58476786314812, "cagr_3y_pct": 255.12141958487246 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 206489939.2435389, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7055106767887898, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.42020257455533 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 212934415.43844593, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.120963771172547, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.52380770910616 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 215011942.9862335, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9756654618323646, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.594993715150017 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 284344656.0638519, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.24598229971696, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.253937727908792 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 425354540.8826586, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.59118513806069, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.94136747357303 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 445513963.1967577, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.739439779405208, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.487100966859558 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 399163519.5337181, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.403813907527127, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.970063427860755 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 485960523.72326905, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.74472363880915, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.540195030058558 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 528441661.76885045, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.741684966528762, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.855129993631247 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 372490530.8485491, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.511513228969644, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.27894854592563 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 325984251.4888745, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.485224591812138, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.461612446710092 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 287137903.2310951, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.916633420282018, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.398559562328977 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 318980671.3287154, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.08971255250566, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.038031154683198 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 337077647.246738, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.6733769612558715, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.12171925544573 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 368057270.8299681, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.190649049639665, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.627960473622242 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 575805316.5749398, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.44448899936157, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.759755572215166 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 490282963.1867302, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.852650874591067, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.302358292674544 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 627492398.4697287, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.985764463681882, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.462341426055254 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 659249048.5601946, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.0608820390352305, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.614354670456056 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "120740", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1803373596.8572254, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.227178236047093, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8364709251791145, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740200", "hs_description": "Copper: unrefined, copper anodes for electrolytic refining", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6812853233.033956, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.23145306069785, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1337111911766096, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "030572", "hs_description": "Fish: edible offal, fish heads, tails and maws", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125914228.50175086, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.993839521596028, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "261690", "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7259984283.027793, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.86866707630395, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.921773087001199, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30258390892.677795, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.32014069530802, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0007132872944087, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "260400", "hs_description": "Nickel ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2189672988.4566364, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.357530007605085, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6173048404227945, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "530500", "hs_description": "Coconut, abaca (Manila hemp or Musa textilis Nee), ramie and other vegetable textile fibres n.e.c., raw or processed but not spun: tow, noils and waste of these fibres (including yarn waste and garnetted stock)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 161199873.80463052, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.821675464139474, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9753615390121486, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 718298619.7326877, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6691334481780844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "440729", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1781917052.1445398, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4052338330175325, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "250490", "hs_description": "Graphite: natural, in other forms, excluding powder or flakes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11905840.754458742, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9407981102286778, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TZA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 9666, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.81006862484848, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.3584323595704655, "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.831443208308322 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TZA-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }