{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.626Z", "seo": { "title": "Taiwan exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Taiwan to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TWN", "country_name": "Taiwan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 172, "current_lane_count": 151, "current_product_count": 151, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 55349865.68210882, "attention_trade_usd": 1283026.9127272607, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24391540.06171952, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6186994.203985042, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 91383.08320968089, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7891829.829192629, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 68, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 50, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.985697298772496, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.18496190971916, "product_concentration_hhi": 308.66778733755086, "top1_product_share_pct": 8.267524344350722, "top3_product_share_pct": 21.573386698500357, "top_product_hs6": "854239", "top_product_trade_usd": 4576063.619833773, "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "top_attention_product_hs6": "590220", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 2.3180307610791253, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 19531214.192414373, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 20837741.428215504, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.689431711360605, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 34967612.893643506, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.80903541827878, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 23402718.301855054, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.07316008949168, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.213328947593388 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 29310475.261842642, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.243892114529707, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.044550490178874 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 27870200.039348036, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.913858303654339, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.283285545202977 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 23013883.13879937, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.424765138722954, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5569278349003781 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 27781943.534332752, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.718191566267464, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7694472312518417 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 28686914.3449396, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.257406413948294, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9674179770739366 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 29054005.463802163, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2796465818824432, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.078349413347109 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 39274614.86537908, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.17797026062579, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.23193143335135 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 51762593.79132081, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.796566226674816, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.7430182548906 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 75941453.9805347, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.71106762286714, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.74979610335998 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 64690533.723883316, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.815255261685166, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.09810611905467 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 5212607.662068575, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.94224044538356, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.47571909942992 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 68536488.78676489, "yoy_growth_pct": 1214.821548636692, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3620635380937847 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 74780789.08548953, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.110913630478358, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.950159532633225 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 72418628.97318378, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.158779335164974, "cagr_3y_pct": 140.39849999118067 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 74158501.52223527, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4025206962917878, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.662782642110373 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53473820.62258619, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.422794609280664, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162961825.53967714, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.095713626674146, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "847170", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27700184.053519, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.219822498934327, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6490439662361399, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "847330", "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30591789.421488885, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.33996500217171, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.27787290797059067, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "841199", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of gas turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83650484.81920424, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.5646149645757617, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.745098298105562, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118579535.68841536, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.027292055063932, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "731814", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: threaded self-tapping screws", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10983988.358631672, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.876451979720888, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9335085554368601, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "851220", "hs_description": "Lighting or visual signalling equipment: electrical, of a kind used on motor vehicles (excluding articles of heading no. 8539)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21950596.49921384, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.731494602002721, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7447842318338312, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "852351", "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12198089.935069857, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.181424066814518, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2778552778290013, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "590220", "hs_description": "Textile fabrics: tyrecord of high tenacity yarn of polyester", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24784574.50106529, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.20402024021296, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1213551984308745, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 8901, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 610872, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }