{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.776Z", "seo": { "title": "Taiwan exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Taiwan to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TWN", "country_name": "Taiwan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "all_history_lane_count": 222, "current_lane_count": 184, "current_product_count": 184, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 160208793.3574323, "attention_trade_usd": 103446323.06600508, "critical_trade_usd": 11965741.500625953, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 113932348.75999245, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24500428.973932162, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 118539665.33200534, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 13, "high_volatility_lane_count": 97, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 64, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 95, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1120410750304455, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.375249789708516, "product_concentration_hhi": 1041.4272019837072, "top1_product_share_pct": 29.38732762010337, "top3_product_share_pct": 42.286487565431045, "top_product_hs6": "381700", "top_product_trade_usd": 47081082.98016304, "top_product_description": "Mixed alkylbenzenes and mixed alkylnaphthalenes, other than those of heading no. 2707 or 2902", "top_attention_product_hs6": "381700", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 14409.7119140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026, "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.56969114998086, "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.468841909276415, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026, "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 68478411.24657612, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 67893824.85943703, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8536798335377682, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 74755115.16675207, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.105912167299769, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 84827871.84367813, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.474337715161466, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.397696173963664 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 92136962.6475529, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.61637884461377, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.713659283606546 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 93574325.81814224, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5600288193649448, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.771831635926119 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 74508242.84597746, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.375335654802274, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.231669490879875 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 84166130.18557902, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.962173003551069, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.97108923909577 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 90986805.32870407, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.103824101317315, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.930363401868417 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 107370732.26045729, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.006926248881605, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.95198421477024 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 121618143.97441746, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.269362529259032, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.054278816791133 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 116240902.0016914, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.421414270108559, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.507606784293099 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 111558592.3665706, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.0281084837527015, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.283578431989274 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 91625128.60067, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.86815640376781, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.007539539463327 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 79963407.55502969, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.727644941668359, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.723702997173369 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 88486660.59744567, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.658941762268448, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.432558577429704 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 112560398.91549125, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.20606490911075, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.10021486666812 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 124851265.51424399, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.919352380743197, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.011369064683368 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 123058857.27313612, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4356348201399527, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.620772572288951 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 113711379.4929519, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.5959406639352745, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.33969306744872085 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 153016196.74375492, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.56542117953922, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.015861374858212 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 112712857.77943002, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.33926330806534, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.884877768974037 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 116500746.43706752, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.360653551212489, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8110782593577115 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 129198710.8554418, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.899470438357728, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.483653519709463 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 129062717.84929533, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1052587949570305, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.61865083407853 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 115881132.65939917, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.213317532401655, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.17759986780381265 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 214750500.36152664, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.31964214806813, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.456437679112803 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 257558541.18892547, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.933849166978735, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.899802858002175 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 244522289.32392633, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.061471386202932, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.26315169350635 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 208101202.23113507, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.894792288053182, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.042935986154414 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "381700", "hs_description": "Mixed alkylbenzenes and mixed alkylnaphthalenes, other than those of heading no. 2707 or 2902", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47952179.71076129, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.3707828101818262, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0393669272954247, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2022120633.6693263, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.8757885847939, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6174979743042663, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "841451", "hs_description": "Fans: table, floor, wall, window, ceiling or roof fans, with a self-contained electric motor of an output not exceeding 125W", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24805126.96044311, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4191888800639614, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146411193.36335948, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.857911352621969, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3731542471184253, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145724188.95695636, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6281387771744906, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "851220", "hs_description": "Lighting or visual signalling equipment: electrical, of a kind used on motor vehicles (excluding articles of heading no. 8539)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25127537.657389384, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.35631538201414, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49318434574987935, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "390311", "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: expansible polystyrene, in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11436913.03256052, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.502442325360903, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.499432963151338, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60248269.79728939, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9520804345762365, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870810", "hs_description": "Vehicles: bumpers and parts thereof, for the vehicles of heading no. 8701 to 8705", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12662778.614326242, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9345688246808134, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870829", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts and accessories, of bodies, other than safety seat belts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22744946.5387935, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7875075150106892, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TWN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "distance_km": 14424, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "importer_population": 17109.747, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 610872, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-GTM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-GTM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-GTM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-GTM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TWN-GTM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }