{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.723Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "all_history_lane_count": 664, "current_lane_count": 613, "current_product_count": 613, "first_observed_last_year": 2009, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 626214579.1071235, "attention_trade_usd": 499941957.20662165, "critical_trade_usd": 74897334.44551969, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 360274379.2134613, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 166126521.06812707, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 178195017.06070447, "access_friction_trade_usd": 626214579.1071235, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 626214579.1071235, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 117, "high_volatility_lane_count": 337, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 270, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 254, "access_friction_lane_count": 613, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1609106694736577, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.33670011672732, "product_concentration_hhi": 242.91371240312245, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.960330682864436, "top3_product_share_pct": 20.219209453981964, "top_product_hs6": "271012", "top_product_trade_usd": 74897334.44551969, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271012", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8412.611328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.049300000071525574, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.064411501515153, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.959843044444444, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.371632354343436, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994, "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.83556657519131, "critical_trade_share_pct": 11.960330682864436, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994, "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 64515981.93851287, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 68729683.64410499, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.531252534616927, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 82646264.34841052, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.24828278909032, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 126127248.45269012, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.61094914221112, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.039492764395167 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 193416639.13546753, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.35039930568011, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.18324595204652 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 312808119.2608199, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.72761591712464, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.842149491676494 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 530236334.96296257, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.50849492523903, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.39380273262187 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 656508636.772783, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.814343432092542, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.28496589144291 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 1251737236.2442822, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.66576829780644, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.761448088217264 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 946266177.2642989, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.40376862931073, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.29640911722237 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 377948531.4278458, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.05896221288252, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.81135072452128 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 563456391.5582381, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.082836604646985, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.361138236216018 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 466829943.50037897, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.14887780235109, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.983983906326596 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 673064201.4978946, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.17759847432501, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.210788574286976 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 627872977.9303575, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.714251547915451, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6741526050926288 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 564282769.4369504, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.12787788750169, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.523647327222681 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 433191734.8069719, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.231443831039368, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.660825922925657 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 525394140.02432483, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.284433152547997, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.766683247626525 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 585046165.7428654, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.353766853162629, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2117924170671257 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 615030874.0101986, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.125186698601802, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.392910714320426 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 572656766.552069, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.8897528967670985, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.912878109621353 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 910051468.4275951, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.917439133210436, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.866691404206845 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 1800208213.2694666, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.8138902824806, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.04585363758764 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 867395365.178616, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.81694213008355, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.843803344061923 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 750721395.4478071, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.451071381593472, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.214086509639072 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11192877591.131302, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.34099358076125, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6304807228350697, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 112541825.62688205, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6870088923396227, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 408487686.94490767, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9040029699651955, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "170490", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82398257.1452146, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.095323237644871, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "740819", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension is 6mm or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30847960.734884676, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2894995098190698, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "845011", "hs_description": "Washing machines: household or laundry-type, fully-automatic, (of a dry linen capacity not exceeding 10kg)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32122676.45881491, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.804951751799937, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.632590630973989, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "842211", "hs_description": "Dish washing machines: of the household type", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17336231.08671061, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.628498316952275, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49039033754268596, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "330290", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: used as raw materials in industries other than the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127076095.89848575, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.769259577434296, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "550130", "hs_description": "Fibres: synthetic filament tow, acrylic or modacrylic", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18537320.41992018, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.241618253829534, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "870193", "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 37kW but not exceeding 75kW", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54356568.54871014, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.74553933984554, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5577054753968013, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "distance_km": 7442, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "importer_population": 60041.996, "importer_biz_entry_days": 40, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.064411501515153, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.959843044444444, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.371632354343436 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ZAF/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ZAF/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ZAF/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ZAF/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }