{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.745Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "all_history_lane_count": 168, "current_lane_count": 156, "current_product_count": 156, "first_observed_last_year": 2018, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 490692660.32831013, "attention_trade_usd": 305411306.4077401, "critical_trade_usd": 34972352, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 351488852.9195366, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 103273964.15831263, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 286268815.2166852, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 16, "high_volatility_lane_count": 105, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 74, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 58, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.231933725300512, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.437718119807904, "product_concentration_hhi": 1218.2245558480686, "top1_product_share_pct": 24.968674468867196, "top3_product_share_pct": 54.873677511264205, "top_product_hs6": "190219", "top_product_trade_usd": 122519453, "top_product_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared", "top_attention_product_hs6": "190219", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 62.24085483638518, "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.1271398224299665, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 3313793, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 4079680, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.11209541452952, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 848186, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.20949682328026, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 9444785, "yoy_growth_pct": 1013.5275753195642, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.78237054544744 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 4312342, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.34155462511852, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8659482419368656 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 19611876, "yoy_growth_pct": 354.78480139098434, "cagr_3y_pct": 184.88921789582912 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 35113036, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.03965943900522, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.9145115000568 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 58162478.09872464, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.64354645586512, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.03632423427342 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 62703136.71511501, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.806852054486191, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.31830366249934 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 123901423.90658146, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.60004107850986, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.242522760636255 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 92465096.99999997, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.37204651520687, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.710960319346114 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 365049896.99999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 294.7975061335847, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.89578497450228 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 234388338, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.7927943751755, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.676323724259095 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 170315099, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.33635962724391, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.581549630780717 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 428977225.99999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.87269274346602, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.526289730262124 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 296353306, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.916307897426698, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.132918723500016 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 280846071, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.232685003352044, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.142203591804407 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 217879053, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.420473170870892, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.213928688174676 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 447748306, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.50314490305777, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.747013663036679 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 295653563.46541053, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.96880356585636, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7274727028663062 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 333826363, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.911327395198269, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.283826719822846 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 317335048, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.940087670667282, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.84178543166383 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 420820410.99999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.61075751078082, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.487576310752102 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 491024688.99999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.682716941693208, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.726297256451625 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 431611460, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.09984555379453, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.796228097938432 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 414748754.9999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9069178098283364, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4832697497252125 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 650376890, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.812258544332494, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.821471173509844 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 697171254, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.194961063269023, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.331737373784794 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 857064050.0000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.93450785336024, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.37261426053612 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 560427221.3731098, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.61081218222725, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.840670424592286 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "190219", "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139087501.25544053, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.72850693389449, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3231039652874943, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6201963063.363749, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.835118318997086, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9030896136145062, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167355639.66417113, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.948407652991875, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3518463936126373, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "890392", "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5116752517.499268, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.53574711089657, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0596160239175814, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63222727.06809338, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.73229853777284, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.343506779849477, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4335928230.445454, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.8664049763825, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8747166542793581, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 196462455.1118329, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.07933234545855, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2365053429292887, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "847170", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21411779.89916363, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2857148573907518, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "961900", "hs_description": "Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44629487.558735564, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.207108880643398, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2390305757494484, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "270750", "hs_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114545776.47727077, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7462656949427742, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-WXD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-WXD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-WXD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-WXD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-WXD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }