{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.727Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUN", "country_name": "Tunisia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "all_history_lane_count": 306, "current_lane_count": 282, "current_product_count": 282, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 722368968.9986852, "attention_trade_usd": 309753123.30690587, "critical_trade_usd": 58035576.18314651, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 390667746.67147785, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 192858201.9061431, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 335083685.11671, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 50, "high_volatility_lane_count": 168, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 106, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 136, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0959673910701686, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.3123163427085, "product_concentration_hhi": 203.8754848625017, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.929393201324177, "top3_product_share_pct": 16.158309189489994, "top_product_hs6": "520942", "top_product_trade_usd": 57279475.9162573, "top_product_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271119", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1684.107666015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03590992093086243, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 46840.042941, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3924, "buyer_population_latest": 11935.764, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.880181264745005, "critical_trade_share_pct": 8.034062739930919, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 46840.042941, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3924, "buyer_population_2024": 11935.764 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 103787241.65562814, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 107904219.3892188, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9667474228200605, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 112051213.4413234, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8432176939680707, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 293030783.19907653, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.515046735772, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.33718111341962 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 217988001.46080512, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.609180345837434, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.414838495157376 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 173832567.5758953, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.255901053732572, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.763467526281127 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 153365714.82218778, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.773888540633614, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.41175852215976 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 145211589.1106961, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.316785254739342, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.664751000658658 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 221031202.7352774, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.21319736869165, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.336336979458125 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 297341562.7098148, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.52470014649109, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.69310671503038 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 309088515.4078176, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.950659501129694, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.63540854135791 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 339742302.8882521, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.9174786355259, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.4069631727908 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 527155524.77633935, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.16334595216161, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.030375570398864 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 752518801.1574445, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.75081371417322, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.527631315384966 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 632074000.9397523, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.00555361971512, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.990839780054916 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 696627172.977774, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.21291366865993, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.737202024829973 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 837386800.7810396, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.20587672478813, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6262030130091105 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 799246983.489178, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.554623652568712, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.136180651749235 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 925145718.6576443, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.752168950184231, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.918276693360228 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 960492952.0831479, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8207206402891103, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.678146415706075 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 848306556.8389013, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.680085210509162, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0055822906386522 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 922461706.6337714, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.741550940169462, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.0967995909474828 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 927740602.3785893, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5722617759474691, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1498209131491355 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 991979844.9871471, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.924267671788642, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.353752302607395 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 924785799.0392756, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.7737309671591195, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.08391110105205879 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 930465895.9141955, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6142067580212407, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.09782293686459997 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 1328824385.3737843, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.81279853553321, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.235526411895645 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 1546481207.9511046, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.379652945343537, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.695566706541666 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 1255090682.8869276, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.84216397625893, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.490485522457993 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 1155252013.3665085, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.954697686925116, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.5586922217199515 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 178714580.43926373, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.123234474628042, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6701405249819732, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "271119", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30299282.153478853, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.0420738518161, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8419479294336575, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "481190", "hs_description": "Paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding and webs of soft cellulose fibres: coated, impregnated, covered, surface-decorated or surface-coloured, n.e.s. in chapter 48, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43002943.14862928, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1191533916077432, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291211722.5229855, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.55390597394039, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.710047714454952, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 266601154.89910734, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.05316162096205, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9365739723666928, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "441114", "hs_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50944343.31938459, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.08457876898863, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.394575842094146, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206299812.10286668, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.506145045390596, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.13286019271356, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "283620", "hs_description": "Carbonates: disodium carbonate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19872224.910889093, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.060102030566775, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0814078696075518, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1472054396.2783883, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.12016800776868, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9564417281610587, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43381549.92695594, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.380967542245, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3096347484029704, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "distance_km": 1691, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344, "importer_population": 11935.764, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-TUN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-TUN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-TUN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-TUN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-TUN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }