{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.713Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 1302, "current_lane_count": 1248, "current_product_count": 1248, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3511296212.7313957, "attention_trade_usd": 1563624174.1643407, "critical_trade_usd": 105957293.14440377, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2518604307.3942046, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 589738400.5926841, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 42449.008859978, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1590733278.972393, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 237, "high_volatility_lane_count": 963, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 572, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 617, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4530869544168883, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.215064742781266, "product_concentration_hhi": 143.63779447850143, "top1_product_share_pct": 6.816647218907793, "top3_product_share_pct": 16.714529034343254, "top_product_hs6": "740811", "top_product_trade_usd": 239352675.63276935, "top_product_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm", "top_attention_product_hs6": "570242", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2459.933349609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02669999934732914, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 44.53125226219568, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.0176119223499187, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 492825075.5173811, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 385308812.5281961, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.816313400106825, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 485249419.56617963, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.937794254490363, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 434996770.7688295, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.356045112279933, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.0751610764619635 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 340873013.98550797, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.63780586622832, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.00221196643753 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 328519441.69714856, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6240980604245188, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.192418155278851 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 447859780.9782689, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.32672047188499, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9761195029241554 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 507483094.69338936, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.312942185807364, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.18515689798987 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 695199029.0427474, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.989593606615024, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.385514817547076 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 712927054.5651851, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.550064770206628, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.76186167085685 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 945786127.1320975, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.662398077869746, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.061948336253547 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 968855457.7096752, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4391699048843973, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.699169579174939 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1517474710.7161925, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.62550059876064, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.6348927483266 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2202078857.9982095, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.114698943411646, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.53990123024637 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1763182900.0392532, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.93098277860643, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.089821393281394 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2159350963.817913, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.46891481138118, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.477915085920355 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2658414046.1565905, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.111716932586646, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.478825453588355 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3619626979.0647135, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.157382417452965, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.09315194214843 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3292205062.146736, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.04573644775355, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.09449397328002 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3019992220.541925, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.26840480669544, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.34245893508316 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3551146725.629072, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.587942825622036, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6346576014087391 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3290335070.301401, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.344434783428144, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.018937115370532 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2935335238.97953, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.789169605433301, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9432758945465358 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2722300214.9994273, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.257604554025798, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.478639616759697 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3246887728.50984, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.270009627153595, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4421028067861821 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2501947236.94797, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.94321682332271, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.185779382902123 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 205765156.6097985, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.77579952242304, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.71899784243102 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 911686132.8103334, "yoy_growth_pct": 343.07119233952903, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.51738327608426 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2590179480.8765764, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.108684739141, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1619605009091538 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3782396460.4636817, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.02835395729532, "cagr_3y_pct": 163.91560551911385 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "740811", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1932692661.2669134, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.3493684668657124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "570242", "hs_description": "Carpets and other textile floor coverings: woven, (not tufted or flocked), of man-made textile materials, of pile construction, made up, n.e.c. in item no. 5702.10 or 5702.20", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 243027752.1716601, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.735136954516996, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9314612201512019, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "870210", "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 856742377.5366098, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2889967981544748, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "680221", "hs_description": "Marble, travertine and alabaster: simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 308824641.21940744, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.923894425797062, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3907363859223831, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "850423", "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 10,000kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 696614550.7936279, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.25530296107714, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.063451310151286, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1755064208.325054, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8763339896719071, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10459940913.55807, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.81999616318518, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1531273887671556, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1069367159.066417, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6836628020416726, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "283620", "hs_description": "Carbonates: disodium carbonate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74482895.54280354, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.781854497777771, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1440524246924324, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245445363.9422993, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2279480191591106, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 2448, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }