{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.098Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to Montenegro: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Montenegro, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "all_history_lane_count": 57, "current_lane_count": 52, "current_product_count": 52, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 46194869.477676645, "attention_trade_usd": 19863017.316172585, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28536799.62673042, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1739946.7595945462, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26846411.168299098, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 24, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 25, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0848298861715913, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.296460992811298, "product_concentration_hhi": 877.589582629392, "top1_product_share_pct": 23.85181433747785, "top3_product_share_pct": 40.48712066166886, "top_product_hs6": "441011", "top_product_trade_usd": 11018314.501255658, "top_product_description": "Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "top_attention_product_hs6": "441011", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.107057687925925, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.880072361477037, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.36775273630074, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.565059222520688, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.67723581432076, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.10321995306518117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.522, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.8219999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.99831894918818, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 12563535.937640937, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 26687992.960993677, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.42421793879869, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 50898439.09198134, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.71662363810151, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 31353067.434403535, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.40072899339073, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.64050042954501 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 29701936.653763063, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.266249575404213, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6309829984781716 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 32380534.353937406, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.018259419912212, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.994442414651465 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 32253971.87822567, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.39085975026952324, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9487755266891496 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 38284529.79349035, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.697101671797057, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.829387096828455 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 40754675.842776425, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.4520736250653465, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.968684670460635 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 42724705.44216208, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.833873803795297, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.824345752824449 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 63970728.26108797, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.72772216694945, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.664093466381647 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 70043371.97240144, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.492847551350025, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.78337183551737 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 90999336.7975338, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.918555082398733, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.662815277250054 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 140232983.48678562, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.10330275130766, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.904130292481113 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 113283578.76023915, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.21759350508716, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.38158559542782 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 120538285.79338776, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.404023524453573, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.823579485817934 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 174838207.22005403, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.04786265149039, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.6288558657147565 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 195944335.4167821, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.071805432186554, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.03887525274446 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 188317809.0719837, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8921902634115213, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.03494319087129 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "441011", "hs_description": "Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19013634.50989656, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.723237977433872, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.24049969372527, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25081690.5129148, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.648272935136495, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3023197431669684, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "940350", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, for bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11557671.159750115, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4823288103224428, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18787003.21803977, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.152716913359214, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7458061461963096, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "940161", "hs_description": "Seats: with wooden frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18005824.27479062, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3066415768112578, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12104717.294354409, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.10347685265318, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6473485589720248, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31307274.78894773, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.369434578520238, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9461295574066527, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22330547.818158295, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.24892678578926, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1156091223739988, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16077084.240813434, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.70175337292055, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.206115831600074, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23686999.930646818, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.73622382635242, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.247347307036167, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "distance_km": 821, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "importer_population": 620.173, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.107057687925925, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.880072361477037, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.36775273630074 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MNE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MNE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MNE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MNE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MNE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }