{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.009Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 141, "current_lane_count": 130, "current_product_count": 130, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 303764426.8626547, "attention_trade_usd": 120236690.34740315, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 214888037.14116874, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 48220249.623015724, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 99963066.9509884, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 26, "high_volatility_lane_count": 76, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 43, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 50, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3618660521742894, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.64383123317799, "product_concentration_hhi": 228.4196093891768, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.215465715122068, "top3_product_share_pct": 15.891587084842701, "top_product_hs6": "854449", "top_product_trade_usd": 21918018.075011898, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "top_attention_product_hs6": "720839", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 632.6324462890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03959999978542328, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.3578463037579365, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.5785835633333336, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.935616607301586, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.582215596880104, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 71933646.47360583, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 69291747.50884892, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6726887823298138, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 71404198.11863975, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0486323202067567, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 60574126.75351299, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.167275385030365, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.5681795786923445 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 72349058.47547469, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.438879853565204, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4496274469842918 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 78760236.00295106, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.86145260570277, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3223846094917464 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 66883122.04204721, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.080089349222902, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3577686937639406 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 78257889.38062371, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.006932378882624, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.651448577587434 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 98742558.00580002, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.175851134375485, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.828224701793496 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 121868631.17859402, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.420573296709215, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.140154572262063 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 141451668.49183783, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.068972896352296, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.81290898108781 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 154365751.03683433, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.129678485016735, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.05990003282658 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 255712824.71821257, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.65385974586752, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.022663621942723 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 291569864.6227243, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.022386223305405, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.265743845187075 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 270878252.3734177, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.096622374222539, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.616779783336735 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 263172835.4686144, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.844605219241081, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9631402626981478 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 318150841.5483269, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.890456259217196, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9508998716959 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 298525087.2147932, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.168694773215799, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.292526049117628 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 297832576.54368395, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2319773783738932, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.210236052479521 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 356017237.42615056, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.53602979153373, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.819591689798285 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 320220712.22766817, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.05471686069912, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.366108831622915 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 367302055.57212603, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.702778910498559, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.238415081930349 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 364687898.871007, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7117185056443764, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8053176040252907 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 407504323.647114, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.740566360621552, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.366305484305725 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 420061308.3773397, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0814359508734235, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.5754576798261 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 422090633.45964384, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4831021191033402, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.993268087790348 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 585710157.3261386, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.76407361267316, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.853970904632007 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 732666210.6655324, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.09023473491938, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.373575513455332 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 652622569.0810817, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.924980628182823, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.633975744783246 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 724137564.8887327, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.958094187325894, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.327935077544212 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 192116636.86169383, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5487143009475892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "720839", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28982107.285395466, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.496497409609717, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.411107684747686, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "720918", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, cold-rolled, of a thickness of less than 0.5mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12686027.739274608, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4501962353763973, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59008504.70998661, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.06235727756054, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4644253836152212, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "720838", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 3mm or more but less than 4.75mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27587808.42983484, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.200721287914106, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7790461984337842, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "760429", "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, bars, rods and profiles, other than hollow", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22301468.389244623, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.488116261962205, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3848891876676188, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "690721", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight not over 0.5%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25889919.97861318, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2741683694830745, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80894529.70170955, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.21703388351936, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2129321733771863, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "760421", "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, hollow profiles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11611493.573202962, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.56496846843115, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5960220679957748, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "940690", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10187787.149490876, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.623902544429379, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 637, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.3578463037579365, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.5785835633333336, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.935616607301586 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }