{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.708Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "all_history_lane_count": 727, "current_lane_count": 708, "current_product_count": 708, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3066284109.5990353, "attention_trade_usd": 1129212888.2926126, "critical_trade_usd": 141311509.40269357, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2001917514.8106759, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 431542249.9898927, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1307269746.1685917, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 5, "high_attention_lane_count": 159, "high_volatility_lane_count": 487, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 190, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 323, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2593959436745232, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.7360105789642, "product_concentration_hhi": 133.95161498380003, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.635758733596106, "top3_product_share_pct": 14.295633147603073, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 234134056.69557792, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "730539", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3230.062255859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.025725748389959335, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 47.7754531711919, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.4707915827777778, "tariff_advantage_pp": 47.59905526570705, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554, "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 36.82675342306342, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.608558905559872, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554, "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 75353731.8684128, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 54768731.14859266, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.317825155317987, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 56478290.50341685, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.121414936902589, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 113880446.9151911, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.63578943364354, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.757602325301189 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 114013703.58350156, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.11701452876251572, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.685463683733968 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 90119842.89697383, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.957007741642474, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.854729477593942 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 111291596.91883855, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.492888293279137, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7635841300734136 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 149671416.70528346, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.48581999810292, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.494911951560802 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 195615609.3101614, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.696704565405565, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.4775163862953 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 344237861.63861245, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.97668348275862, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.70196885687254 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 386781253.275337, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.35871947211531, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.2278257133513 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 577486547.3311123, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.305723180957386, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.45404159457571 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 780347178.680796, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.12820035154343, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.364013796872303 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1001308245.1124452, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.315738490294983, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.30956522424393 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 669088103.2997574, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.17860842895387, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.03010800864454 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 687371956.1232059, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.73265250619128, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.140612805546273 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1045232049.9802775, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.06207362246942, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.441339488714477 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1066573255.5338422, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0417672376165097, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.816034807012194 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1301181704.1280775, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.996468351047184, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.703516715018115 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1507536529.7513292, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.859032214223312, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.984371862367006 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1436512629.4148154, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.7112556767184515, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.43487730813144 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1591075287.429102, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.759575297103364, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9344386839850225 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1776546778.4782913, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.656990245186872, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.625700209861018 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 2112183731.5693674, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.89266059059629, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.71229241801315 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 2444928294.8800893, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.75358044555577, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.396277330393392 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 2164156946.430111, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.483827523201395, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.799864537272615 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 3105348979.427318, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.490008178461935, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.70849375728065 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 3260594691.1499505, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.999300006251239, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.072009931375003 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 3184708762.393409, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3273646664062397, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.743605325541196 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 3563438571.363961, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.892133228720269, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.69347641809601 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8260250625.329595, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7965340638739982, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "870331", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 528347654.47400796, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.008195051840715, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7453055231425223, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 270070875.2288816, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.598912136606, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9000239569477839, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "730539", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): tubes and pipes (other than line pipe or casing of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines), welded (not longitudinally welded), having circular cross-sections, external diameter exceeds 406.4mm, (not seamless)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90571677.79268758, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.41214172591816, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9018089656516073, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "441114", "hs_description": "Medium density fibreboard (MDF), of a thickness exceeding 9 mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102991756.19550969, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7390081394651453, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206574668.0073039, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4727143680692822, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 212138074.09532148, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3349949342455825, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98379854.32610765, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4179654925770246, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "840733", "hs_description": "Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87, of a cylinder capacity exceeding 250cc but not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 561457563.7977723, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.82963409896754, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6703681911109823, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "600622", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89402611.6903656, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.657383700802223, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "distance_km": 3319, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "importer_population": 37344.788, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 47.7754531711919, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.06984684848483, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.4707915827777778, "tariff_advantage_pp": 47.59905526570705 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MAR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MAR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MAR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MAR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-MAR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }