{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.626Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Türkiye exports to Saint Kitts and Nevis: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Saint Kitts and Nevis, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TUR",
    "country_name": "Türkiye"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KNA",
    "country_name": "Saint Kitts and Nevis"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
    "importer_iso3": "KNA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 6856621,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1329092,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 325190,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1654282,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 6856621,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8637215449033395,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.545176483183963,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6154.980607609546,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 75.87321801802958,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5202339,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "999999",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 8901.0419921875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.13259999454021454,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 976.150667,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 18230,
    "buyer_population_latest": 53.546,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.2610027312243579,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3076192656782606,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.04647357279056186,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.38406687492279,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 976.150667,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 18230,
    "buyer_population_2024": 53.546
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 39264.025313391285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 4947.306093377577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.39990091721374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 19014.58552803167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 284.34220905564007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 24229.957118054328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.428268590625127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.862817276333818
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2575.1964945237287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.37184873263813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.558431454819893
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 9844.309292838696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 282.2741027247071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.7029736538455
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 282648.00357214664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2771.1816661201483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 126.79375531500186
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 740052.809311068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.8284226168849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 559.9090936220687
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 302321.1526716054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.14870548859304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 213.15625798691084
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 478264.4293588022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.19747481523867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.16280560009489
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 257152.71957695793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.232104293911945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.69663109799687
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 768204.9940765284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 198.73492893262136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.45921348851964
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 10324473.968111768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1243.9738152865025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 178.44106356555915
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2432755.247655142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.43700536057368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.49613348321212
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2606591.548671756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.1456551654413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.26757765514065
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 5332432.983859102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.57493566939387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.767099838712276
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 9783888.77906763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.47888869269937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.02705987214056
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 7536987.20536885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.965322117172526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.46502711121727
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 7235003.943532368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.006684018534212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.705990514454955
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2140216.9335302035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.41857958566256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.7465253853319
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2758641.107419928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.895396732968482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.46820194163584
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2056009.5361182531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.470205943491674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.25509267905947
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 6700545.043571701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 225.9004846943625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.290944898194056
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 5962266.671438895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.018183854178965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.292122305924195
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 1991602.497174353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.59655451651054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0553053692552106
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 2846491.1817759234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.92466422463668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.82618850857019
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 20138320.379030272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 607.4787551762585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.038927022396365
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 7712900.204620186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.70037987551578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.03809441987837
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "export_value_usd": 8728164.012151353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.163191284686949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.27950516585795
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48709937.515617095,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9513728823562814,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26881368.102198504,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6580284784080458,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "KNA",
      "hs_code": "890392",
      "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22601770.701126102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.66496670655712,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.30218225372206914,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
    "importer_iso3": "KNA",
    "distance_km": 8906,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 976.150667,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18230.132353490455,
    "importer_population": 53.546,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 18.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-KNA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-KNA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-KNA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-KNA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-KNA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}