{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.720Z", "seo": { "title": "Türkiye exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "all_history_lane_count": 118, "current_lane_count": 104, "current_product_count": 104, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 263598170.13926375, "attention_trade_usd": 229399892.13875335, "critical_trade_usd": 85192506.50180164, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 167466836.53040427, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 104595326.07947151, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 246918405.30015478, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 16, "high_volatility_lane_count": 77, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 67, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 87, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3981583593853248, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.306292106563895, "product_concentration_hhi": 2425.383719620661, "top1_product_share_pct": 35.94193944589394, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.08212082118868, "top_product_hs6": "151219", "top_product_trade_usd": 94742294.69193865, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151219", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3690.67578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944, "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 87.02635986340769, "critical_trade_share_pct": 32.3190811441494, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944, "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 11589286.284850715, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 26669113.512601532, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.11868770092315, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 37318824.17285607, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.93275087761128, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 45981493.93915552, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.212601035271252, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.3101627627155 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 31516369.29868746, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.458579096209593, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.724555268737563 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 27704650.409964826, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.094409900449355, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.452824510650704 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 31145501.664143935, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.419760593483264, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.177846081490419 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 33090620.95705067, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.24526557280034, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6380315550210467 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 54936346.92725839, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.01787859636106, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.632605735271753 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 82773497.29600658, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.67164441350198, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.515590636903106 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 119702843.68667132, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.61494028529638, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.50876706958228 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 93767893.04543266, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.666110714232325, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.508316024465344 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 140581982.8670819, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.92550040445802, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.31071632598296 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 163980733.11341617, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.644202741440495, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.061308345160148 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 240580431.15509564, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.71262079838356, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.899558361468124 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 200255060.67741105, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.76170014496645, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.51694842305826 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 306922919.90770394, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.265999305816855, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.23824333786011 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 442254173.912019, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.092912332846, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.500317365003887 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 395849545.0474621, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.492750911558058, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.501490410609694 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 364204689.38726926, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.994162442803532, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.869794652033455 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 438124781.32891405, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.296304274941246, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3122120086483382 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 451424964.06258655, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.035706561343221, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.476466043327876 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 413386186.50344306, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.426378819818591, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.312609283366409 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 405503419.8574174, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9068771292772735, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.546172458436957 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 455156374.91788816, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.244768509703242, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.274772628270914 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 355600881.2226126, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.872811012091333, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.895232240220492 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 450252132.5212748, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.617271299563726, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5508700855985564 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 410034075.19875956, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.932341330024663, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4201692701602338 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 389718924.645407, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.954502999172683, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1010026998997464 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 387901725.08138806, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.4662846603285642, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.847111263796499 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "151219", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107711291.02486847, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7869027571983171, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103220675.8279766, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.07616395289061, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8566935044365634, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23235346.410836507, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.585999447613897, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4285982527944, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 550387516.3976364, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.72905499657631, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.258641190827374, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83400056.74628611, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.658783141478985, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1918153436839263, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250882844.2477154, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1369414296025393, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "210210", "hs_description": "Yeasts: active", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16116663.011533447, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.873308569343976, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7030083928680967, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "850211", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output not exceeding 75kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23496572.987401307, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.860053313087484, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4647411031130133, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17917183.031107266, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5092264615977848, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72950316.14875925, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.69118598266255, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5703257893727844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUR", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "distance_km": 3674, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "importer_population": 117876.228, "importer_biz_entry_days": 32, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ETH/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ETH/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ETH/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ETH/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-ETH/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }