{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.427Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Türkiye exports to Brunei: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Türkiye to Brunei, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TUR",
    "country_name": "Türkiye"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRN",
    "country_name": "Brunei"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
    "importer_iso3": "BRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 434525.3847174776,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 204166.67609941075,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 107443.52930270294,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 365875.73387093557,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 434525.3847174776,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 6,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9836552541178087,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.513341213620274,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3445.0196697923457,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 53.01386678889726,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 86.77330841275005,
    "top_product_hs6": "230910",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 230358.70861806688,
    "top_product_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9322.6162109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.06459999829530716,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14006.569576,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 31723,
    "buyer_population_latest": 441.532,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6363175751219714,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.731441922235355,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.889474911383159,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 56.65599999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14006.569576,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 31723,
    "buyer_population_2024": 441.532
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 14906780.33768587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 25163570.65090057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.80620818758885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 21191527.03379705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.784896635729883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2473119.6441372796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.32967704407024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.051763550192206
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3727438.494437409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.71808204967312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.088987385938516
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2760547.738942449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.939817838386492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.30742685762435
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 202054.28980137256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.68064496943718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.60820166843692
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 98327.34578915962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.336175101345624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.23166050044485
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 98786.00099558216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.46645742620370356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.0466138362918
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 681210.3245855063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 589.5818412732093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.94697728018123
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 437871.02024561906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.72161130821837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.52199317323436
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 589774.0192632058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.69126569106547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.41091370699431
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 739511.0261329713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.388878109081368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7750769704662837
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 704684.9665563216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.709336080999504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.187943898446314
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 948536.1615877217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.60428512091869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.162712692690917
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 743726.8512301975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.592145734823752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.18966763144645515
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 6813646.132985853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 816.149003053394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.04018115356071
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1105464.9568141806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.7757210275059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.235845789866156
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4982214.999592578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 350.6895464104745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.5108425484085
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5768415.492571537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.780139818198347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.3997421920781274
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4372408.549126038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.200873623671036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.14613589059683
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 8577816.884470858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.1805898990249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.853697145531555
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1854825.1862014104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.376488899415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.490812550592985
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2380938.233935722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.36456242066483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.34004590525137
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5263333.343021644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.06131389730699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.024309606383346
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2196915.9851881373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.259987692003136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.804341390754386
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 7412030.393480818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 237.38342492173516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.01462389239281
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3821105.886105923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.447244772947215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.124207655426698
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3369889.1790221613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.808537123361296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.327813077036412
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2310251.9748218637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.44427451195211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.19827870051236
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13374759.334653068,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7966033631302353,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10556937.766058078,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.101538410520174,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11058145.820849376,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.09088182418424,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2749930062749562,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13119600.188407034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.38966689608031,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2661416891005812,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16404938.81395242,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.388590628386872,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1939913439336982,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "190230",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta (excluding stuffed), cooked or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10022675.785745388,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.810552148396866,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1906312398356407,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TUR",
    "importer_iso3": "BRN",
    "distance_km": 9318,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355,
    "importer_population": 441.532,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-BRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-BRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-BRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-BRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUR-BRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}